KO leads Polish poll as Morawiecki's hypothetical party gets 2.05%
A new poll by Instytut Badań Pollster for Super Express shows Koalicja Obywatelska leading with 32.45% support, while a hypothetical run by former PM Mateusz Morawiecki's association Rozwój Plus would garner just 2.05%.
Poll results
The latest survey by Instytut Badań Pollster for "Super Express", conducted June 30 to July 1 on a sample of 1,042 adults, shows Koalicja Obywatelska (KO) in first place with 32.45% support. Prawo i Sprawiedliwość (PiS) follows at 24.97%, and Konfederacja at 12.75%. Two other groupings would cross the 5% electoral threshold: Konfederacja Korony Polskiej (8.97%) and Nowa Lewica (7.79%). The remaining parties fall short: Razem (4.45%), PSL (3.79%), Polska 2050 (1.92%), and others (0.86%).
- KO
- 32.45 %
- PiS
- 24.97 %
- Konfederacja
- 12.75 %
- KKP
- 8.97 %
- Nowa Lewica
- 7.79 %
- Razem
- 4.45 %
- PSL
- 3.79 %
- Rozwój Plus
- 2.05 %
- Polska 2050
- 1.92 %
- Inna partia
- 0.86 %
Morawiecki's association tested
The poll included a hypothetical scenario in which Stowarzyszenie Rozwój Plus, founded by former prime minister Mateusz Morawiecki, runs as a separate electoral list. It received 2.05% support, placing it ahead of only Polska 2050 (1.92%). The association is not a registered political party, and Morawiecki has repeatedly stated he does not intend to leave PiS. Asked by a journalist whether he could declare he would not form his own party before the next parliamentary elections, he replied:
Yes, I can declare that.
Expert commentary
Political marketing expert Sergiusz Trzeciak told "Super Express" that the result illustrates the difficulty of breaking into voters' awareness in an established political system.
This result shows how hard it is to break into voters' awareness in an entrenched political system. Every new brand must fight to cross the 5% threshold, because a lower result does not encourage support.
He added that as elections approach, the pressure to launch new political ventures may grow.
Shifts from previous survey
Compared to the previous Pollster survey from June 19–21, KO lost 1.56 percentage points, PiS dropped 1.20 points, and Konfederacja fell 1.18 points. Konfederacja Korony Polskiej gained 1.31 points, while Nowa Lewica remained nearly unchanged (down 0.03 points). The earlier poll did not include Rozwój Plus as a separate option.
