Civic Coalition leads Polish poll with 25.8% as PiS drops to 16.5%

Civic Coalition leads as PiS falls to multi-year low

Koalicja Obywatelska secured first place in the August CBOS survey, drawing 25.8% of declared voters in Poland. The result represents a 0.7 percentage point increase from July and arrests a downward trend that began in May 2026. Prawo i Sprawiedliwość dropped to 16.5%, losing 2.6 percentage points within a single month. This is the lowest polling level for the former ruling party since the 2023 parliamentary elections. CBOS linked the decline directly to internal party divisions and an ongoing split within the organization. The research agency characterized the stabilization of the lead party in its survey report.

a halting of the process of weakening public support for the main force of the governing coalition that had lasted since May

Far-right parties and new political formations

Konfederacja placed third with 13% of the vote, down 2.2 percentage points compared to July. Konfederacja Korony Polskiej, led by Grzegorz Braun, maintained an 8.2% share, matching its exact result from the previous month. The August survey included Rozwój Plus, a new political formation created by former prime minister Mateusz Morawiecki, for the first time. The new faction garnered 3.6% of declared voter support ahead of its formal establishment scheduled for October. The polling agency noted limited voter awareness regarding the newly introduced faction in its findings.

perhaps some people do not yet identify this grouping with the former prime minister and his circle

Parliamentary threshold excludes six formations

Under the Polish electoral system, parties require at least 5% of the national vote to enter the Sejm. Six polled formations finished below this mark, leaving four political forces in position to gain parliamentary seats. Partia Razem reached 4.4%, gaining 0.3 percentage points, while Nowa Lewica dropped 1.5 percentage points to 3.8%. Polska 2050 RP, which changed its name from Polska 2050 Szymon Hołowni in March, increased by 2.3 percentage points to 3.4%. Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe drew 2.4%, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points, and Unia Centrum, previously named Centrum Polska in July, recorded 0.2%. Other minor formations collectively accounted for 0.3% of voter preferences.

High voter turnout alongside rising indecision

Voter participation intentions remained stable, with 74% of respondents declaring they would cast ballots if parliamentary elections took place immediately. This turnout level represents a drop of 0.8 percentage points compared to the July study. At the same time, the proportion of undecided voters climbed to 15.9%, up 0.2 percentage points from July and more than 5 percentage points higher than in April. An additional 2.5% of respondents refused to state their voting preferences, an increase of 0.3 percentage points. The survey was conducted between 17 and 20 August 2026 among a representative sample of 1,000 adult Polish residents. The methodology comprised 80% computer-assisted telephone interviews and 20% computer-assisted web interviews with applied electoral weighting.