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Stefan Kooths

German economist

  • Jun 11

    IfW Kiel holds 2026 German growth forecast at 0.8% despite Iran war, cuts 2027 outlook to 1.0%

    The Kiel Institute for the World Economy maintained its 0.8% GDP growth forecast for Germany in 2026, bucking a wave of downgrades by other forecasters, but lowered its 2027 projection from 1.4% to 1.0% as the Iran war keeps commodity prices elevated.

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Today’s Brief

Berlin, Bordeaux and blockade

Berlin suspect shot dead as wildfires empty towns and Gulf war spreads across sea lanes

A violent attack in Berlin, fires across western Europe and an expanding Middle East war set the tone for a nervous Sunday. Governments are evacuating, investigating and improvising, while markets and citizens watch familiar systems strain under unfamiliar pressure.

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Other · Updated 3h ago

Culture, media and the new divides

No new findings or signal events occurred this cycle, indicating a period of sustained regulatory and industry activity without new discrete developments.

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