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Moritz Schularick

Moritz Schularick

German economist

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  • Jun 11

    IfW Kiel holds 2026 German growth forecast at 0.8% despite Iran war, cuts 2027 outlook to 1.0%

    The Kiel Institute for the World Economy maintained its 0.8% GDP growth forecast for Germany in 2026, bucking a wave of downgrades by other forecasters, but lowered its 2027 projection from 1.4% to 1.0% as the Iran war keeps commodity prices elevated.

  • Jun 11

    Russia's war economy hits its limits: reserves near depletion, growth stalls, and dependence on China deepens, Kiel Institute study finds

    More than four years into the invasion of Ukraine, a new study by the Kiel Institute and the Stockholm Institute of Transition Economics finds Russia's fiscal reserves largely exhausted, growth at a standstill, and a structural dependence on China that weakens Moscow's long-term position.

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Today’s Brief

Berlin, Bordeaux and blockade

Berlin hunts suspect as wildfires empty towns and Gulf war spreads across sea lanes

A violent attack in Berlin, fires across western Europe and an expanding Middle East war set the tone for a nervous Sunday. Governments are evacuating, investigating and improvising, while markets and citizens watch familiar systems strain under unfamiliar pressure.

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  • US-Iran military escalation

    Iranian media report a tanker exploded after hitting a naval mine, citing a deviation from the route designated by Tehran.

  • Berlin Pride parade cancelled

    Expanded the search for the Berlin Pride attacker to a garden colony as police continue their investigation.

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Other · Updated 4h ago

Culture, media and the new divides

France's data protection authority initiated an investigation into social media age verification, adding a new enforcement layer to the recently adopted national law.

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