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Joachim Nagel

Joachim Nagel

German economist

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  • 3h ago

    ECB raises deposit rate to 2.50% following inflation acceleration

    The European Central Bank raised its benchmark interest rates by 25 basis points on 10 September 2026, setting the deposit rate at 2.50% after Eurozone inflation climbed to 3.3% following energy price increases.

  • Jun 16

    US and Iran agree on framework to end war and reopen Strait of Hormuz, boosting markets

    A framework agreement between the United States and Iran to end the months-long war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz sent oil prices down 5% and lifted global stock markets on Monday, though economists cautioned that the economic damage would take time to heal.

  • May 29

    German inflation unexpectedly drops to 2.6% in May as fuel discount takes effect, but ECB rate hike looms

    Germany's annual inflation rate fell to 2.6% in May from 2.9% in April, defying economist expectations, as a temporary fuel tax cut and lower crude oil prices eased pressure on consumers.

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Today’s Brief

Anthropic publishes its abuse file

Energy shock squeezes voters as Russia pounds Ukraine and AI labs reveal abuse

Energy, war and technology supplied the day's main current. The same Middle East shock that lifted diesel above $6 a gallon pushed the European Central Bank back into tightening, while conflicts in Ukraine and the Arctic kept testing Western nerves.

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  • Bus crash in Graubünden, Switzerland

    Recovery operations begin after a Dutch tour bus overturned in eastern Switzerland, leaving several dead and multiple passengers injured near Susch.

  • Houthi advance on Yemen's Red Sea coast

    Seize Red Sea port of Mokha and advance along the coast as Brent crude rises near $107 amid escalating fighting with Saudi forces

  • Polish airspace alert during Ukraine attack

    Tusk warns of potential Russian actions at the EU border following a CIA report, hours after Poland repelled a threat at a Ukrainian crossing.

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European Union · Updated 26m ago

The ageing Union's economy

Market repricing of ECB path firmed to 60 bps additional tightening by April 2027 with December now in play, but no new policy action or political event occurred this cycle.

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