Explainer

Will your Ryanair fare go up because of the fuel bill?

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Ryanair made 2.15 billion euros in profit in the first half, down 15% on a year earlier.

€2.15bn

First-half profit, April to SeptemberSource: TheJournal.ie · 02.11.2026

Most of its fuel is locked in: 80% of needs to March 2027 is hedged at a set price. Only 25% of the twelve months after that is covered.

Share of fuel needs hedged
  • Hedged to March 2027 at $67 a barrel80%
  • 12 months to March 2028 at $95 a barrel25%

Its chief executive, Michael O'Leary, was blunt: Unless there is a swift resolution of the Middle East conflict we expect jet fuel prices to remain elevated well into 2027.

“Unless there is a swift resolution of the Middle East conflict we expect jet fuel prices to remain elevated well into 2027.”

Michael O'Leary

As airlines' fuel hedges run out, Ryanair expects European fares to rise materially, by as much as 20%, according to The Guardian. Ryanair says that is unlikely to fully cover its extra fuel bill.

20%

Forecast fare rise, as reportedSource: The Guardian · 02.11.2026

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The story

Ryanair profit falls 15% in first half as fuel bill set to rise by €2bn in 2027Read the article

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