Explainer

Will Democrats take Congress from Republicans on Election Day?

AI-generated text and synthetic voice. How this text is made

Republicans hold a majority in both chambers, so this vote decides who controls Congress for the next two years. The mood is grim: 31 percent of adults approve of Trump in a Reuters and Ipsos poll.

31%

Trump approval, Reuters/Ipsos pollSource: oko.press · 28.10.2026

All 435 House seats are on the ballot this Tuesday. Forecasts say Democrats would already practically have 201 seats, against 187 for Republicans, and a majority needs 218.

House majority line

435

= 1 seat

  • Democrats201
  • Republicans187

Majority: 218

In the Senate, Democrats would need to flip 4 seats to take control.

4

Senate seats Democrats must flipSource: Tgcom24 · 28.10.2026

Julien Labarre, who follows the results for a Swiss newspaper, sees Michigan as the state that worries Democrats most: The Democrats need the state to win.

“The Democrats need the state to win.”

Julien Labarre

Watch the explainer

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The story

Midterms on 3 November: Democrats favored for House, Senate races tightRead the article

Based on reports by

List of sources