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Can the world's shallow coral reefs still be saved?

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The International Union for Conservation of Nature says 96% of shallow coral reefs are now rated critically endangered, its highest threat level.

96%

Shallow reefs rated critically endangeredSource: The Independent · 22.10.2026

Heat drives that risk. The projection assumes warming of 2.7 degrees by the end of the century, above the original 1.5 degree goal.

Warming levels cited in reef coverage (°C)
  • Original 1.5 degree target1.5 °C
  • IPCC intermediate scenario2.7 °C

The Global Coral Reef Monitoring Network warned recovery time is running out. Reefs once had decades between severe bleaching; often only five to six years remain now. Manuel González Rivero, lead author of that report at the Australian Institute of Marine Science, says This creates a downward spiral that becomes harder to reverse with each new bleaching event.

“This creates a downward spiral that becomes harder to reverse with each new bleaching event.”

Manuel González Rivero

Still, IUCN director general Grethel Aguilar says It is not too late to give coral reefs a chance to recover, but this requires decisive action to fight climate change and halt ocean warming.

“It is not too late to give coral reefs a chance to recover, but this requires decisive action to fight climate change and halt ocean warming.”

Grethel Aguilar

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96% of shallow coral reefs rated critically endangered, IUCN warns of collapse by 2075Read the article

Thread: Paris 1.5°C limit: warming projections

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