Macro · Washington and Athens
Democrats take Congress, lifting European stocks and bonds after early US tech futures slump
Democrats won control of both the House and the Senate in the US midterms, triggering early losses in US tech futures before European shares, Athens stocks and bonds rallied on Wednesday, 4 November.
AI text based on reports by Η Ναυτεμπορική, NewsIT, H Kαθημερινή and other publishers. Published . How it is made
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In brief
Democrats took control of the House of Representatives and the Senate in the US midterm elections, while Donald Trump keeps the White House but loses the congressional majority he needed for his economic agenda.
On Wednesday, 4 November, Nasdaq futures fell more than 2% and S&P 500 futures dropped about 1.2% on fears of tighter AI oversight, while Japan's Nikkei fell more than 3%.
The STOXX 600 rose 0.5% at 08:16 GMT after futures had fallen as much as 1.4%, bank shares gained more than 2% and the Athens general index was up about 1.4% at one point.
The US 10-year yield fell to near 4.90% from 4.95% at the 3 November close, and the dollar lost 0.5% against the euro, 0.3% against the yen and 0.7% against the Norwegian krone.
- 3 NovWall Street closes mixed, with the Nasdaq up 0.83% at 25,372.01
- Early 4 NovemberNasdaq futures fall more than 2% in early trade and the Nikkei drops over 3%
- 4 November, 08:16 GMTSTOXX 600 up 0.5% after futures had dropped as much as 1.4%
Democrats take both chambers of Congress
Democrats won control of the House of Representatives and the Senate in the US midterm elections, a result some coverage calls a 'blue wave' against Republicans led by Donald Trump. Trump keeps the White House but loses the congressional majority he needed for his economic agenda, and he moved quickly to say he would work with Democrats. Before the vote, polls and independent analysts cited by Reuters favored Democrats for the House, while the Senate race was still uncertain. Contests for state governments were also closely watched.
Early selloff in tech futures
Investors first priced in the risk of tighter oversight of artificial intelligence, large technology companies and data center construction. In early trade on Wednesday, 4 November, Nasdaq futures fell more than 2% and S&P 500 futures dropped about 1.2%. Japan's Nikkei fell more than 3% after returning from a holiday, and South Korea's Kospi lost 1.6%. Charu Chanana, head of investment strategy at Saxo in Singapore, told Reuters that the change arrives as investors already question high valuations and heavy AI spending.
Recovery in Europe and Athens
European shares recovered after the early drop, with the STOXX 600 up 0.5% at 08:16 GMT, following a fall in futures of as much as 1.4%. Bank shares rose more than 2%, while clean energy names led the gains with Orsted up 7%, Vestas up 5% and Nordex up 4.7%. Novo Nordisk gained 4.6% after reporting third-quarter results above expectations and lifting its annual sales and earnings forecasts. In Athens, the general index was up about 1.4% at one point, with Alpha Bank, Eurobank and PPC among the largest gainers and AKTOR, OTE and LAMDA Development the weakest.
- Orsted
- 7 %
- Vestas
- 5 %
- Nordex
- 4.7 %
- Novo Nordisk
- 4.6 %
Data from the article text
Bonds, the dollar and oil
Government bonds rallied as the prospect of a divided Washington was seen limiting new tax cuts and spending. The US 10-year yield fell 5-6 basis points to near 4.90%, and the 2-year fell to 4.55%, while the dollar weakened 0.5% against the euro. Florian Ielpo of Lombard Odier Investment Managers said the deadlock could reduce the chance of another large fiscal expansion, which could ultimately support stocks. On Tuesday, 3 November, the 10-year yield had closed at 4.95%, and Brent crude fell 1.1% to $103.60 a barrel, according to the Wall Street Journal, as traders weighed talks to end the wars in Iran and Ukraine.
- 2-year Treasury
- 4.61 %
- 10-year Treasury
- 4.95 %
- 30-year Treasury
- 5.32 %
Data from the article text
Athens results, calendar and Iran
Attention in Athens also turns to nine-month results, with National Bank, Coca-Cola HBC and Lamda Development reporting on 4 November and Metlen, Titan Cement and Bank of Cyprus on Thursday, 5 November. OLP reported on Tuesday, 3 November, that its nine-month net profit fell 21.5% to 59.6 million euros and its turnover dropped 8.2% to 178.8 million euros. BriQ shares trade without the right to its 0.10 euro interim dividend from 4 November. Quest Holdings is preparing a separate listing for its IT subsidiary Uni System after the collapse of the planned sale of ACS Couriers. Some market commentary also mentions circulating scenarios of an imminent military strike on Iran.
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Sources and context
- Η ΝαυτεμπορικήStock markets: Scene reversal for stocks after the sweeping victory of the Democrats - “Vote” for bonds, gold, defeat for the dollarΧρηματιστήρια: Ανατροπή σκηνικού για τις μετοχές μετά τη σαρωτική νίκη των Δημοκρατικών - "Ψήφος" σε ομόλογα, χρυσό, ήττα για δολάριο · original in Greek
- NewsITOptimism on Euronext Athens and European markets after the victory of the Democrats - Banks and green energy lead the riseΑισιοδοξία σε Euronext Athens και ευρωαγορές μετά την νίκη των Δημοκρατικών - Τράπεζες και πράσινη ενέργεια οδηγούν την άνοδο · original in Greek
- H KαθημερινήRise in European stock markets after the sweeping victory of the DemocratsΑνοδος στα ευρωπαϊκά χρηματιστήρια μετά τη σαρωτική νίκη των Δημοκρατικών · original in Greek
- Η ΝαυτεμπορικήStock market: The “blue wave” favors Athens, positive start for stocksΧρηματιστήριο: Το "μπλε κύμα" ευνοεί την Αθήνα, θετικό ξεκίνημα για τις μετοχές · original in Greek
- Donald Trump
- US president whose Republicans lost control of both chambers of Congress in the midterms
- Places
- Washington, United States, Athens, Washington, D.C.
- Organizations
- Alpha Bank, Eurobank
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