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In brief

  • Oil exports from Gulf producers other than Iran averaged more than 24 million barrels a day in the week to 18 October 2026, against 23.3 million before the war.

  • About 14 million barrels a day moved through the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf of Oman transfer points, roughly 82% of the pre-war volume.

  • Kpler data show about 40% of non-Iranian crude leaving the Gulf bypassed Hormuz in September, up from 17% before the war.

  • Brent reached $108 a barrel on 20 October, against about $70 in February, and higher freight costs are passed on to pump prices.

Fujairah
Fujairah · United Arab Emirates

Exports back above pre-war levels

Oil exports from Gulf producers other than Iran reached more than 24 million barrels a day in the week ending 18 October 2026, according to shipping data from Kpler reported by the Wall Street Journal. Before the war, the weekly average stood at 23.3 million barrels a day. The rebound does not mean normal shipping has returned. Only about 14 million barrels a day moved through the Strait of Hormuz itself and the transfer points in the Gulf of Oman, roughly 82% of the pre-war volume. Rerouting fills the difference, which lets total exports climb above their earlier level even though attacks on the strait continue.

Gulf oil exports excluding Iran, million barrels a daymillion barrels per day
Pre-war average23.3
Week to 18 October 202624
Pre-war average
23.3 million barrels per day
Week to 18 October 2026
24 million barrels per day

Data from the article text

Pipelines and ship-to-ship transfers

Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have moved crude through pipelines to ports on the Red Sea or outside the strait. Kpler data cited by the sources show that about 40% of non-Iranian crude leaving the Gulf bypassed Hormuz in September, up from 17% before the war. Saudi shipments through the Red Sea rose from 750,000 to 4.3 million barrels a day, and UAE exports through the Fujairah terminal doubled. Tankers now run short shuttles: one ship loads inside the Gulf, crosses the strait, and hands its cargo to another vessel off Oman before heading back. According to the WSJ, American air surveillance along the Omani coast currently offers some protection, and Kpler says more than 70% of the oil that crossed Hormuz in August was transferred off Oman or at Fujairah.

Share of non-Iranian crude bypassing Hormuz%
Before the war17%
September 202640%
Before the war
17 %
September 2026
40 %

Data from the article text

Freight costs and crew pay

Traders can earn about $20 more per barrel reselling Iraqi oil than they could before the war, Kpler's Homayoun Falakshahi estimated, which works out to roughly $40 million per supertanker cargo. On his calculation, three successful voyages would repay the purchase of an older tanker that costs around $100 million. Crews are also paid more, and some have been offered bonuses of two to three times their usual monthly salary for trips into the Gulf. One Chinese manning agency offered up to $25,000 for a round trip that usually takes one to two weeks. Older tankers that previously carried Venezuelan or Russian crude have been moved into Gulf service, and some vessels make only short runs through the most dangerous stretch.

Prices stay high at the pump

Brent crude traded at $108 a barrel on 20 October, against about $70 in February, according to Courrier international citing the WSJ. BFMTV, citing Kpler, reported that in mid-March, when the strait was largely paralysed, exports from eight Middle Eastern producers collapsed to 9.71 million barrels a day, a 61% fall. Non-Iranian crude fell 72% within 10 days of the conflict's start, to 4.5 million barrels a day in early March, before recovering to 16.5 million in September. Brent has risen 50% over the period, according to the sources, and higher freight costs are passed on to fuel prices.

Non-Iranian crude exports from the Gulfmillion barrels per day
Early March 20264.5
September 202616.5
Early March 2026
4.5 million barrels per day
September 2026
16.5 million barrels per day

Data from the article text

This article is part of a thread

The Middle East after Gaza

What changed since this entry:

  1. 21/10Non-Iranian Gulf oil exports topped pre-war level in the week to 18 October; Hormuz at about 82% of earlier volume
  2. 21/10FT says US ruled out pre-midterm attack while Netanyahu presses for strikes
  3. 21/10Macron announces conference to back Lebanon's army after Israel's election
Open the thread

Next in today’s edition

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Sources and context

  • Berliner Zeitung3 h agoDespite attacks: Gulf states now export more oil than before the warTrotz Angriffen: Golfstaaten exportieren inzwischen mehr Öl als vor dem Krieg · original in German
  • Libertatea4 h agoWhy is gasoline getting more expensive, even though more oil is leaving the Gulf than before the war in Iran?De ce se scumpește benzina, deși din Golf iese mai mult petrol decât înainte de războiul din Iran? · original in Romanian
  • Courrier international5 h agoOil: Middle East exports are at their highest, and so are crude pricesPétrole : les exportations du Moyen-Orient sont au plus haut, les prix du brut aussi · original in French
  • novinky.cz12 h agoMore oil is flowing from the Persian Gulf than before the war, but it remains expensiveZ Perského zálivu už proudí více ropy než před válkou, zůstává ale drahá · original in Czech

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Published today at 18:19.

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Text generated by AI from the reports of the publishers listed and checked automatically, with no human editor. How Pollar is made

In this text

  1. 1Exports back above pre-war levelsExports back above pre-war levels
  2. 2Pipelines and ship-to-ship transfersPipelines and ship-to-ship transfers
  3. 3Freight costs and crew payFreight costs and crew pay
  4. 4Prices stay high at the pumpPrices stay high at the pump

Based on reports by

Berliner Zeitung, Libertatea, Courrier international, novinky.cz, BFMTV

List of sources
ThreadThe Middle East after Gaza

Energy & Trade · Fujairah

Gulf oil exports top pre-war level as Hormuz traffic still lags and freight costs climb

Oil exports from Gulf producers other than Iran rose above their pre-war level in the week to 18 October, using pipelines and ship-to-ship transfers, while the Strait of Hormuz itself carries only about 82% of its earlier volume.

Fujairah

Ask about this text

Ask your own questionWhat percentage of non-Iranian crude bypassed the Strait of Hormuz in September?How much did Brent crude cost per barrel on 20 October 2026?

AI text based on reports by Berliner Zeitung, Libertatea, Courrier international and other publishers. Published today at 18:19. How it is made

Brent crudeUSD per barrel109.35up 0.51%▲+0.51%

Live price, delayed by up to 15 minutes. Brent crude in Markets