German intelligence chiefs warn of violent conflict risk with Russia during Bundestag hearing

Warnings in the Bundestag

Martin Jäger, president of the Federal Intelligence Service (BND), addressed the Parliamentary Oversight Panel of the Bundestag on Monday, 5 October 2026. He warned lawmakers that Germany faces a real risk of entering a violent conflict with Russia as Moscow steps up hostile operations across Europe. Jäger described these actions as an undeclared shadow war that cannot be captured by conventional military or legal categories. He stated that low-intensity hostile actions against NATO member states are no longer isolated exceptions. Russian intelligence agencies operate in a highly professional and ruthless manner, requiring Germany to substantially increase its resilience. In this environment, Jäger emphasised that German intelligence services function as the first line of defence.

The confrontation we are facing with Russia has taken on a new, more dangerous dimension: Germany is in danger of becoming embroiled in a violent conflict with Russia.

Sabotage and assassination risks

Sinan Selen, chief of the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution (BfV), testified that Moscow is prepared to carry out sabotage, targeted killings, and disinformation campaigns on German territory. Selen stated that while security agencies have achieved defensive successes, the threat environment continues to escalate. He called on Germany to adapt its intelligence capabilities to the operational standards of European partner services. Martina Rosenberg, head of the Military Counterintelligence Service (MAD), also appeared before the committee alongside Jäger and Selen. The panel normally conducts its oversight work in secret sessions, holding only one public hearing each year. During the current legislative period, the body includes representatives from the Social Democratic Party, the Christian Democratic Union, and the Greens.

The Leipzig airport incident

Both intelligence leaders pointed to an attempted attack at Leipzig/Halle airport as concrete evidence of Russian operations inside Germany. In early August, security personnel discovered a drone loaded with explosives in the secure freight area, positioned adjacent to Ukrainian cargo aircraft. The facility serves as a strategic logistics hub for both the German military and NATO. German authorities launched a counter-terrorism investigation the day after the discovery. On 1 September, Berlin formally attributed the operation to Russian intelligence agencies. Jäger told lawmakers that no other country currently presents such a direct, comprehensive, and specific threat to German national security.

Strategic goals and Moscow's response

Jäger stated that Moscow conducts its shadow war to break European political support for Ukraine and deter Berlin and other capitals from making decisions against Russian interests. Russian operations also seek to impede Western weapons shipments as the war in Ukraine enters a more dangerous phase ahead of anticipated winter assaults. Jäger noted that Russian President Vladimir Putin missed the window to end the war without jeopardising his power. The BND currently detects no signs of a large-scale conventional assault against NATO territory, though low-intensity actions remain possible in the Baltic states. Putin addressed relations with NATO on Thursday, 1 October, rejecting allegations of aggressive intent.

We are not threatening anyone. We have no intention of attacking anyone - whether in 2029, 2030 or 2050 - but if we are subjected to aggression, we will have no choice but to respond.