The Politbarometer published on Friday, 23 October, shows the AfD down two points to 26 percent and the CDU/CSU up two points to 23 percent, based on 1,225 voters interviewed from 20 to 22 October.
The Allensbach survey for the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, published on Thursday, 22 October, has the AfD at 27 percent and the Union at 23 percent, with the AfD one point lower than in September.
Only 21 percent support abolishing the pension without deductions after 45 contribution years, while 74 percent oppose it, according to the Politbarometer.
The Politbarometer finds the current black-red coalition would still lack a majority, while the SPD is searching for a new leadership.
The ZDF Politbarometer, published on Friday, 23 October, puts the AfD at 26 percent, two points lower than in the previous survey. The CDU/CSU would gain two points to 23 percent, while the SPD rises one point to 14 percent. The Greens would fall two points to 13 percent and the Left would lose one point to 11 percent. The FDP stays at 3 percent, below the five percent threshold, and other parties together reach 10 percent. The survey was carried out by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen in Mannheim.
Data from the article text
An Allensbach survey for the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, published on Thursday, 22 October, also showed the gap narrowing. In it the AfD reaches 27 percent, one point less than in September, while the Union stands at 23 percent, unchanged from the last survey. The SPD and the Greens are tied at 14 percent, and the Left gains a point to 11 percent. The FDP would fall to 4 percent from 5 percent in September, which would still keep it out of the Bundestag. Der Tagesspiegel reports that some other surveys have put the CDU/CSU below 20 percent, while the SPD is still searching for a new leadership.
The current black-red coalition would still have no majority according to the ZDF survey. The Politbarometer also asked about a possible red-green-red state government led by the Left in Berlin. 56 percent of respondents would dislike such a coalition, 26 percent would like it and 16 percent would not mind. Even 42 percent of SPD supporters and 26 percent of Green supporters reject the idea.
Most respondents want to keep the so-called Rente mit 63. Only 21 percent back the plan to abolish the pension without deductions after 45 contribution years, while 74 percent oppose it. The pension is currently available from the age of 64.5, and its abolition is a core element of the reform planned by the black-red coalition, based on a proposal from the pension commission. Besides the SPD, the three East German CDU minister-presidents also want to keep it. Still, 83 percent consider a fundamental reform to stabilise pensions important or very important, while 12 percent do not.
Data from the article text
The poll drew on 1,225 randomly selected eligible voters, interviewed by phone and online between 20 and 22 October. The sampling error is about three percentage points at a 40 percent share and about two points at 10 percent. The survey is representative of eligible voters in Germany. The sources note that weakening party attachment and more short-term voting decisions make weighting the data harder for pollsters.
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The AfD stays ahead at 26 percent, while the CDU/CSU rises to 23 percent in the ZDF Politbarometer published on Friday, 23 October, with the gap between the two narrowing.
AI text based on reports by Süddeutsche Zeitung, Handelsblatt, Spiegel Online and other publishers. Published .