Energy Truce Collapsed
Trump announced an energy ceasefire on 11 October with no published scope or monitoring mechanism. On 21 October Kremlin spokesman Peskov said Putin is not considering an energy truce and that Russia wants a broader peace. Ukraine ended its pause on 15 October and struck St Petersburg oil facilities on 18 October.
Russian missiles and drones hit energy sites in Kyiv, Volyn, Odesa and Mykolaiv regions overnight on 21 October, killing at least four. Two more died near Kharkiv. Ukraine's Air Force said 150 of 186 drones and missiles were downed.
Diplomacy and Funding
After meeting Witkoff in St Petersburg on 21 October, Putin agreed in principle to resume trilateral talks, reportedly in mid-November. Zelenskyy says Kyiv supports freezing the front line as a basis for diplomacy, provided security guarantees are included. Moscow still demands a broader settlement. The test is whether Hegseth releases the Patriots before talks begin.