Europesince 1 Nov12 entries

The 2026 US midterm elections

Americans voted on 3 November 2026 for all 435 House seats and a third of the Senate; Democrats won both chambers, and Trump says he accepts the result while saying he was not on the ballot.

AI text how it is made

This week11 entries

State of playtoday 03:53

The Result

Pollar and Reuters report Democrats won the House and the Senate in the 3 November midterms. AP projects more than 218 House seats and at least 54 Senate seats. Hakeem Jeffries formally launched his bid to become the first Black speaker, though Republicans keep both majorities until the new Congress convenes on 3 January 2027.

Senate Flips

Republicans entered with a 53–47 edge. Reuters lists Democratic flips in South Carolina, North Carolina, Texas, Ohio, Kansas and Iowa. Alaska is unresolved: overseas ballots are accepted until 18 November before any ranked-choice tabulation, with Republican Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola the main contenders. The result could push the majority beyond 54.

Fallout and Markets

Trump says he will work with Democrats but denies responsibility, arguing he was not on the ballot, and threatens vetoes. Vance reportedly blames the Iran war. Global equities and Treasuries rose and the dollar eased on expectations of gridlock. Reuters says tariff changes are unlikely soon: a veto blocks repeal, and the Senate needs 60 votes for most bills.

What comes next

  • in 13 daysAlaska deadline for overseas ballots before ranked-choice tabulation
  • in 59 daysNew Congress is sworn in; Republicans keep majorities until then

Open questions

  • Will remaining races such as Maine and Alaska be called and confirm the Democratic Senate majority?
  • What legal consequences will follow from the Justice Department target letters in the Alaska probe?

Who is who8

Donald Trump US President

Says he accepts the midterm results and was not on the ballot, and acknowledges the Iran war partly weighed on Republican losses.

4 Nov

Mike Johnson US House Speaker

Told a Virginia rally on 2 November that polls miss Republican enthusiasm, before Democrats were projected to win the House.

4 Nov

Hakeem Jeffries House Democratic leader

Has formally launched his bid to become the first Black House speaker after Democrats were projected to win the House.

5 Nov

Jon Ossoff Democratic US Senator from Georgia

Projected by Decision Desk HQ to win re-election over Republican Mike Collins.

4 Nov

Promises2

Donald Trumpopen

Trump will veto legislation from the Democratic Congress that he considers "insane".

4 Nov · during the next two years of divided government · pollar.news

Donald Trumpopen

The US will stop its roughly $4 billion annual aid to Israel under a deal with Netanyahu while Israel keeps buying American arms.

3 Nov · pollar.news

Chronicle12 entries since 1 Nov

2–8 November11 entries · 3 key

05/11

Hakeem Jeffries formally began his campaign for speaker, ABC News reported on 5 November, after Democrats were projected to win the House. Republicans keep control until the new Congress is sworn in on 3 January 2027.

abcnews.com

04/11
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Democrats won back the House and the Senate in the 3 November midterms, Pollar reported, with Trump-backed candidates losing in Texas, Ohio and South Carolina. Trump responded by saying he had not been on the ballot.

pollar.news · full article

04/11

Democrat James Talarico defeated Republican Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race, Pollar reported on 4 November. Texas has been a Republican stronghold since the 1980s, and the flip adds to Democratic Senate gains after North Carolina.

pollar.news · full article

04/11

Decision Desk HQ and Bloomberg projected on 4 November that Democrats will take control of the House. Hakeem Jeffries would become the expected next speaker, giving Democrats the first congressional check on Trump's administration since his return to the White House.

bloomberg.com

04/11
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