US-Iran Track
Trump's pre-midterm strike halt holds, but on 23 October he said the US "knocked the hell out" of Iran and could act again. On 24 October Iran's armed forces chief Gen. Ali Abdollahi said US warships would be barred from the Persian Gulf and rejected US claims that the nuclear sites were destroyed.
The State Department cut staff at embassies in Jordan, Lebanon, Qatar and the UAE after a US intelligence memo said Iranian plots against Americans were advanced. US officials denied a link to new strikes. Iran ties reopening Hormuz to lifting the blockade and sanctions; Rubio called a deal "extremely difficult" on 21 October.
Saudi-Houthi War
The Saudi-Houthi truce unravelled in July. Houthi strikes have hit Dammam airport, a Saudi oil field and a Shabwa camp where 75 recruits died, and Aramco evacuated its Dhahran headquarters. On 24 October the Saudi-led coalition said it intercepted a ballistic missile fired toward Riyadh. Britain is sending jets and France is protecting energy sites.