Europe·since 26 May·400 entries
European democracies and populism
Populist and anti-liberal political forces are gaining institutional ground within the European Union, testing and at times reshaping the boundaries of liberal democracy through electoral victories, legal challenges, and conflicts with EU frameworks.
AI text how it is made
This week10 entries
State of playtoday 15:28
Poland's Tribunal
Poland's Constitutional Tribunal is in a standoff. On 30 October judge Anna Korwin-Piotrowska took over its running and suspended president Bogdan Święczkowski for a month. Prime Minister Donald Tusk defended the move, while the court calls it a coup. Police entered the grounds and three people were detained.
On 31 October she sent most staff home on pay. President Karol Nawrocki, who pushed his way into the building, called urgent consultations with parliamentary parties. Mateusz Morawiecki's Rozwój Plus filed a constructive no-confidence motion against Tusk, naming Marek Jurek as premier.
Far Right in the Polls
Marine Le Pen opened her 2027 campaign on 25 October. Ipsos puts her near 32% in the first round. In Portugal, Chega polled 21%, ahead of the Democratic Alliance on 20%, for the first time.
EU Frame and Oversight
Kaczyński said on 28 October that nationalist-led countries could jointly negotiate EU withdrawal as leverage. The Patriots for Europe hold 85 MEPs while EPPO examines their staff offices. The test in the Sejm is whether the Jurek motion gathers a majority.
What comes next
- in 4 daysCommission to announce Poland's migrant solidarity exemption
- in 29 daysSpanish Senate election
Open questions
- Can AfD and BSW reach a deal to elect Siegmund in Saxony-Anhalt, or will government formation stay deadlocked?
- Will President Nawrocki veto the two abortion-loosening bills passed by the Sejm?
Who is who8
Marine Le Pen National Rally leader
Formally launched her 2027 presidential campaign on 25 October in Orléans, pledging to restore the rule of law and calling a Bardella government 'pluralist'.
26 Oct
Patriots for Europe European Parliament far-right group
Third-largest group at 85 MEPs, now facing an EPPO search of staff offices over its predecessor's funds.
29 Oct
Andrej Babiš Czech Prime Minister
His coalition, backed by the far-right SPD, won a first vote on public-media funding changes and faces protests in Prague.
29 Oct
Bogdan Święczkowski Constitutional Tribunal president
Suspended for a month on 30 October; the court says he and his deputy remain in office, while Korwin-Piotrowska runs the court.
31 Oct
Karol Nawrocki Polish President
Pushed his way into the Constitutional Tribunal on 30 October and on 31 October called urgent consultations with parliamentary parties.
31 Oct
Jarosław Kaczyński Law and Justice leader
Said on 28 October nationalist-led states could jointly negotiate EU withdrawal as leverage, and addressed protesters outside the Tribunal on 30 October.
30 Oct
Donald Tusk Polish Prime Minister
Defended the suspension of the Tribunal's president and deputy on 30 October and now faces a constructive no-confidence motion.
31 Oct
Mateusz Morawiecki Rozwój Plus leader
Announced on 31 October a constructive no-confidence motion against Tusk, proposing Marek Jurek as prime minister.
31 Oct
Numbers
AUR poll share in Romania (%)
40→40 %
10/10 → 22/10
Promises2
Marine Le Penopen
She would hold a constitutional referendum on a public veil ban and national preference.
10 Oct · due 31 Dec 2027 · lemonde.fr
Marine Le Penopen
A Le Pen government would cut France's EU contribution by more than €11 billion from 2027.
8 Oct · due 1 Jan 2027 · lemonde.fr
Chronicle400 entries since 26 May
26 October – 1 November9 entries
Mateusz Morawiecki announced a constructive vote of no confidence against Donald Tusk's government on 31 October, proposing former Sejm marshal Marek Jurek as prime minister. The move follows the dispute over the Constitutional Tribunal, where its president and vice-president were told to pause their duties.
Judge Anna Korwin-Piotrowska, who took over running Poland's Constitutional Tribunal on 30 October and suspended its president for a month, ordered most staff on 31 October to stay away from the building while keeping their pay.
President Karol Nawrocki called urgent consultations with parliamentary parties on 31 October, a day after turning back from Senegal and pushing his way into the Constitutional Tribunal while police held the site, deepening the clash over the suspension of its president.
Portugal's far-right Chega polled 21% in a national survey reported on 30 October, ahead of the governing centre-right Democratic Alliance on 20%. The Socialist Party led on 23%.
Poland's prosecutor general sent five immunity motions to the Constitutional Tribunal on 30 October, while its president and vice-president were ordered to pause their duties for a month. Judge Anna Korwin-Piotrowska said she would take over the court's management.
Police entered the Constitutional Tribunal in Warsaw on the evening of 30 October, citing a judge's warning about threats to judges and staff. Protesters gathered outside, and politicians including Jarosław Kaczyński addressed them.
Law and Justice leader Jarosław Kaczyński said on 28 October that nationalist-led countries could jointly negotiate withdrawal from the EU as a pressure tactic, while advocating greater national-parliamentary oversight of EU institutions.
The Warsaw Regional Court ruled on 28 October that activist Zbigniew Komosa may not publicly suggest Lech Kaczyński contributed to the 2010 Smolensk crash, and ordered an apology. The ruling is not final, and Komosa has announced an appeal.
The European Commission proposed expanding Frontex's powers and resources to support returns of irregular migrants, including cooperation with non-EU countries. Deutsche Welle reported on 27 October that critics say the plan answers populist and far-right pressure and could weaken a rights-based border approach.
19–25 October17 entries
Thousands of people demonstrated in Prague on 25 October against the Czech government's plan to restructure public-media funding, a day after the coalition led by Andrej Babiš won a first parliamentary vote on the changes, AP reported.
The Czech governing coalition led by Andrej Babiš and backed by the far-right SPD advanced changes to public-media funding through an initial parliamentary vote on 24 October, Reuters reported. Critics say the measures could weaken broadcaster independence.
The European Public Prosecutor's Office is investigating alleged misuse of EU funds in contracts involving two Greek consultants to the centre-right EPP, POLITICO reported on 23 October. The probe targets the largest mainstream group, after searches at the Patriots for Europe on 21 October.
Constitutional Tribunal president Bogdan Święczkowski referred judge Magdalena Bentkowska to the disciplinary spokesperson on 22 October after she led Krystian Markiewicz into the judges' section. The dispute over oaths before the president continues.
Romanian prosecutors sent AUR vice-president and lawmaker Dan Tănase to trial on 22 October over alleged incitement to hatred and discrimination against foreign workers, citing his August 2025 social-media remarks. AUR polls at about 40%, making it Romania's most popular party.
The European Parliament adopted a position on 22 October delaying the EU's methane regulations by three years. The European People's Party joined far-right groups to secure the majority, aligning Parliament with industry concerns about supply disruption.
Czech communist MEP Kateřina Konečná joined the Patriots for Europe on 21 October, lifting the group to 85 MEPs and past the European Conservatives and Reformists as the European Parliament's third-largest group.
Officials acting for the European Public Prosecutor's Office searched staff offices of the Patriots for Europe group in the European Parliament on 21 October, Reuters reported. The probe concerns alleged EU-funds mismanagement by predecessor Identity and Democracy, where Parliament found €4.3 million in irregular items.
More than 421,000 emails linked to Germany's AfD were published online after a cyberattack, according to reporting on 21 October. The party is playing down the leak, and its political impact is unclear.
A Lyon court convicted 18 people after Monday hearings, and Paris heard about 70 cases on 20 October, in the first fast-track sentencing after the riots. Police are preparing a massive deployment for a Yellow Vest protest called for 24 October.
Poland's parliament approved two bills on 20 October that would loosen strict abortion rules, including decriminalisation measures, Bloomberg reported. A presidential aide said a veto by President Karol Nawrocki is likely.
French authorities announced localized night curfews in central Paris, Lyon and other cities on 20 October after protests over living costs turned violent. AP reported at least 2,400 arrests, and Prime Minister Lecornu said a large security operation is planned for Saturday.
MEPs approved an emergency debate on recent violence in France, Italy and Belgium on 20 October, RTÉ reported, after competing far-right and far-left motions were rejected. The adopted motion was backed by the EPP and the ECR.
People's Party leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo confirmed on 20 October that his party is discussing coordination with Vox on Senate lists for the 29 November election, aiming to secure a majority and counter a Socialist-led left-wing agreement.
Romania's parliament approved Luca Niculescu as prime minister on 20 October after three failed attempts to form a government. The PNL-Social Democrat arrangement lasts six months, by which time a longer-term coalition deal is required, and was partly meant to avert snap elections.
Romania's National Liberals and Social Democrats agreed on 19 October to support independent prime minister-designate Luca Niculescu, POLITICO reported. The government is meant to last six months, with the PNL outside the cabinet, and aims to prevent an early election that could benefit AUR.
Macron refused the resignation offered by Interior Minister Laurent Nunez on 19 October, Reuters reported, asking him to stay to preserve police command and develop new measures against looting after protests over living costs turned violent.
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