Explainer

Why is the Fed holding rates while inflation keeps climbing?

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The Fed is widely expected to hold this week, while inflation climbs to 3.7% in September, far above target.

3.7%

US inflation in SeptemberSource: Blick.ch · 28.10.2026

Economist Nicholas Economides expects no radical moves before the vote. Even if the Fed were to do something radically different, the economy would not have time to adjust before the elections.

“Even if the Fed were to do something radically different, the economy would not have time to adjust before the elections.”

Nicholas Economides

Most officials projected another hike this year, and markets now expect a December move. Christopher Waller said: The hikes do not need to come at consecutive meetings, but they should be in place in an acceptable period of time.

“The hikes do not need to come at consecutive meetings, but they should be in place in an acceptable period of time.”

Christopher Waller

Rates rose in September, the first increase in years. The next deciding point is December, where markets expect another hike.

Next move: December
  1. September 2026Rate increase, first in years
  2. December 2026Coming upExpected next decision

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The story

Fed expected to hold rates on 28 October as inflation climbs before midtermsRead the article

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