Conflicts · Oslo, Dublin, and Brussels
Norway's intelligence warns Russia may stage sabotage that could kill people
Norway's domestic intelligence service PST says Russian intelligence may carry out sabotage in Norway within a year, with acts that could kill people. Estonia and Britain have raised parallel alarms about Russian pressure on Europe.
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In brief
PST says Russian intelligence may carry out sabotage in Norway within the coming year, and Inger Haugland said on Thursday, 12 November, that some acts could lead to deaths.
Arms factories, military contractors, logistics firms and energy infrastructure are named as possible targets, and PST has not yet detected a sabotage attempt against Norwegian sites.
Luke Pollard said Russian naval activity around Britain rose 41% in the first nine months of the year, with ships scouting undersea infrastructure and escorting tankers.
More than 70 MEPs, nine of them Polish, ask that about 185 billion euros in frozen Russian state assets come under EU control, while Kyiv estimates a further 70 billion euro need in 2027.
- April 2025Hackers take control of Bremanger dam, and water flows out uncontrolled for four hours
- August 2026Server Killers claims a cyberattack on Norwegian state services
- 12 NovPST warns that Russian intelligence may carry out sabotage in Norway that could kill people
A warning from Norway's intelligence service
Norway's domestic counterintelligence service, PST, judges that Russian intelligence may carry out sabotage in Norway within the coming year, and that some of these acts could kill people. Inger Haugland, director of the PST department that handles threats from foreign states, told the news agency NTB on Thursday, 12 November, that there are well-grounded reasons to expect such operations. The methods listed include arson, explosives, threats and murder. PST says the risk is not limited to property or infrastructure, and that it has not so far detected a sabotage attempt against Norwegian sites.
Targets and motives
PST has established that people linked to Russian intelligence have been scouting Norwegian infrastructure and potential targets. The list covers arms factories, companies that work with the military, logistics firms and energy infrastructure, and the threat applies to the whole country, not only to areas near the Russian border. According to the service, Moscow wants to provoke social unrest, weaken Norway's cooperation with other countries and discourage Oslo from backing Ukraine. Justice minister Astri Aas-Hansen told Aftenposten that Norway faces its most serious security situation since the end of the Second World War.
Cyber incidents add to the picture
The warning follows a rise in cyberattacks and other incidents aimed at Norwegian institutions and infrastructure. In April 2025 hackers took control of a water dam in Bremanger, and water flowed out uncontrolled for four hours. That attack has been blamed on pro-Russian cybercriminals. In August 2026 the group Server Killers claimed an attack on Norwegian state services that disrupted systems for many days.
Russian naval activity near Britain
Luke Pollard, UK minister for defence readiness, presented figures at an international maritime forces conference in Oslo. He said Russian naval activity around Britain rose 41% in the first nine months of the year compared with the same period a year earlier. Russian vessels carry out reconnaissance near undersea critical infrastructure and escort tankers across the North Sea and the English Channel. A new initiative would bring together 10 countries, including Britain, the Netherlands, and Baltic and Nordic states, to deepen maritime cooperation and link uncrewed surface vessels with conventional warships. British concern centres on the Russian spy ship Jantar, which is used to monitor and map subsea cables and other strategic installations.
Europe weighs Ukraine funding and frozen Russian assets
Ahead of the EU summit in Dublin on Friday, 13 November, Estonian prime minister Kristen Michal warned that Moscow is trying to set a cognitive trap by asking Europeans who represents them. He pointed to António Costa, president of the European Council, and foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas as existing representatives, and said any talks with Russia should start from peace on Ukraine's terms. He also expected the coming winter to be very hard for Ukraine because Russia is striking heating, water and power networks.
More than 70 MEPs, nine of them Polish, wrote to Irish prime minister Micheál Martin, whose country holds the EU Council presidency, as well as to Costa, Ursula von der Leyen and Kaja Kallas. They want frozen Russian state assets placed under EU control to help secure Ukraine's financing. Kyiv estimates it will need about 70 billion euros more in 2027, and the letter notes that the existing 90 billion euro loan does not solve the growing gap. Most of the frozen assets, estimated at around 185 billion euros, sit at Euroclear in Belgium, which fears legal consequences and Russian retaliation. The proposed transfer would move central bank accounts and their liabilities to an EU instrument, with any losses shared among member states. The letter recalls that the EU used a similar approach for frozen Iraqi state assets in 2003.
- Frozen Russian central bank assets (estimated)
- 185 EUR bn
- Existing EU loan to Ukraine
- 90 EUR bn
- Additional Ukraine need in 2027 (Kyiv estimate)
- 70 EUR bn
Data from the article text
Drone strike in Samara region
Separately, Ukrainian drones hit industrial facilities in Samara region, and governor Wiaczesław Fiedoriszczew reported on Friday, 13 November, that four people had died. He did not name the site. Ukrainian media say the target may have been the Samara LPDS oil node run by Transneft, which covers more than 216 hectares and has 71 storage tanks. Ukraine's general staff says oil from the node also reaches the Russian army. The facility had been attacked before, most recently on 2 November, when a fire broke out there and was recorded by satellite monitoring.
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Sources and context
- RzeczpospolitaFour people died in Russia. Ukrainian drones attacked an important facilityCztery osoby zginęły w Rosji. Ukraińskie drony zaatakowały ważny obiekt · original in Polish
- TVP InfoRussian billions under EU control? MEPs appeal to BrusselsRosyjskie miliardy pod kontrolą UE? Europosłowie apelują do Brukseli · original in Polish
- rmf24.plIs Russia setting a trap for Europe? Estonian Prime Minister warnsRosja zastawia pułapkę na Europę? Premier Estonii ostrzega · original in Polish
- rmf24.plWorst situation since the Second World War. Intelligence warns of dramatic scenariosNajgorsza sytuacja od II wojny światowej. Wywiad ostrzega przed dramatycznymi scenariuszami · original in Polish
- Astri Aas-Hansen
- Norwegian justice minister who described the country's security situation
- Kristen Michal
- Prime minister of Estonia who warned against Russian manipulation of European talks
- Luke Pollard
- UK minister for defence readiness who presented Russian naval activity figures
- António Costa
- President of the European Council named as an existing EU representative
- Kaja Kallas
- EU high representative for foreign affairs and security policy
- Micheál Martin
- Irish prime minister whose country holds the EU Council presidency
- Ursula von der Leyen
- President of the European Commission addressed in the MEPs' letter
- Wiaczesław Fiedoriszczew
- Governor of Samara region who reported the deaths from the drone attack
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