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Listen to the article5 min, read by a synthetic voice

In brief

  • President Karol Nawrocki will resubmit a referendum request to the Senate in the week of 20 July 2026, after the first attempt was rejected 62–32 on 21 May 2026.

  • The European Commission’s ETS reform proposal, published on 17 July 2026, slows the emission reduction pace and moves the end year from 2039 to 2049, but the president’s office calls it cosmetic.

  • Paweł Szefernaker, head of the presidential cabinet, argues that the EC’s €10 billion in relief for all EU industry by 2030 is outweighed by the €13 billion cost Poland faces from phasing out free allowances by 2034.

  • Climate minister Paulina Hennig-Kloska welcomed the slower reduction pace but said the government will push for further ETS slowdown.

Warsaw
Warsaw, Brussels · Poland, Belgium
How it came to this
  1. 21 MaySenate rejects the request 62–32, with the ruling majority arguing the government will negotiate better terms in Brussels.
  2. 17 JulEuropean Commission unveils its ETS reform proposal, slowing emission reduction pace and shifting the end year from 2039 to 2049.
  3. 20 JulPresident Nawrocki’s office announces a second referendum request will be submitted to the Senate in the coming week.

Background: the first referendum attempt

President Karol Nawrocki first asked the Senate to authorise a referendum on EU climate policy on 7 May 2026. The move fulfilled a pledge he made in February 2025, when, as a presidential candidate, he signed an agreement with the NSZZ Solidarność trade union. The proposed question read: “Are you for the implementation of the EU climate policy that has led to an increase in citizens’ living costs, energy prices, and the conduct of business and agricultural activity?” On 21 May the Senate rejected the request by 62 votes to 32. The ruling majority argued a referendum was unnecessary because the government would negotiate solutions in Brussels that served Polish interests.

“Decisions taken today will affect our lives for many years. This is especially true of European climate policy, whose negative effects we are already feeling. The Green Deal and ETS mean higher energy prices, a loss of economic competitiveness, and the collapse of agricultural production.”

Karol Nawrocki, president of Poland

The Commission’s ETS reform

On 17 July 2026 the European Commission published its long-awaited revision of the Emissions Trading System. The proposal slows the pace of CO₂ emission reductions and shifts the end year from 2039 to 2049. Climate minister Paulina Hennig-Kloska welcomed the slower trajectory but said the government would fight for further deceleration. The president’s office, however, dismissed the package as superficial. Paweł Szefernaker, head of the presidential cabinet, wrote that “instead of real change we are dealing only with apparent corrections.” Presidential advisor Wanda Buk noted that the revision contains “a few limited concessions while simultaneously further expanding and tightening the system,” pointing to the inclusion of municipal waste incinerators, ships, and flights.

“After earlier assurances from government representatives that they would win a real reform in Brussels, a breakthrough could have been expected. Unfortunately, the published project shows that instead of real change we are dealing only with apparent corrections.”

Paweł Szefernaker, head of the Presidential Cabinet

The financial arithmetic

Szefernaker laid out the numbers behind the criticism. The Commission proposes roughly €10 billion in relief from revised benchmarks for all EU industry by 2030. By contrast, Polish companies alone have been receiving about €3 billion in free allowances each year. The cost of phasing out those allowances for the Polish economy is estimated at around €13 billion by 2034. “That means one country will bear greater losses than the value of the relief foreseen for the entire European Union,” he wrote. On the Modernisation Fund, the Commission presents an increase of 280 million allowances to be shared among 12 member states, while Polish enterprises cancel about 150 million allowances annually. Szefernaker called the fund’s expansion “an attempt to cover up multi-billion-euro costs with a gesture.”

Financial impact of ETS changes on Polandbillion €
EC relief for EU industry by 203010
Polish free allowances (annual)3
Cost of phasing out for Poland by 203413
EC relief for EU industry by 2030
10 billion €
Polish free allowances (annual)
3 billion €
Cost of phasing out for Poland by 2034
13 billion €

Data from the article text

A second referendum request

On 18 July Szefernaker announced that President Nawrocki would resubmit the referendum request to the Senate “in the coming week.” He stressed that this time the upper chamber could not hide behind the wording of the question. “We expect it to allow a substantive debate and enable Poles to express their opinion on this matter, which is fundamental for the future of the Polish economy and energy security,” he said. The president’s March 2026 proposals for ETS changes, which he argued could protect Polish and European industry, remain the alternative vision his office is promoting.

“This time the Senate will not hide behind the ‘thesis’ in the referendum question. We expect it to allow a substantive debate and enable Poles to express their opinion on this matter, which is fundamental for the future of the Polish economy and energy security.”

Paweł Szefernaker, head of the Presidential Cabinet

What happens next

The Senate will again have to decide whether to approve the referendum. The previous vote showed a clear majority against the president’s initiative, and the government’s position has not shifted publicly. Minister Hennig-Kloska’s statement that the cabinet will seek further ETS slowdown suggests the ruling camp prefers to keep the debate inside EU institutions rather than put it to a popular vote. The president’s office, however, is betting that the Commission’s proposal, which it brands as cosmetic, will strengthen its argument that only a direct public mandate can force a real change of course.

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Sources and context

  • Rzeczpospolitaon 18 Jul at 12:22Będzie kolejny wniosek prezydenta ws. referendum. "Tym razem Senat się nie zasłoni"
  • NIEZALEZNA.PLon 18 Jul at 12:18Po decyzji Komisji Europejskiej, prezydent nie składa broni. Złoży wniosek do Senatu
  • TVN24on 18 Jul at 11:58Karol Nawrocki ponownie skieruje do Senatu wniosek o referendum
  • wpolityce.plon 18 Jul at 11:52Szaleństwo systemu ETS. Prezydent Nawrocki nie odpuszcza!
Karol Nawrocki
President of Poland
Paweł Szefernaker
Head of the Presidential Cabinet
Paulina Hennig-Kloska
Polish Minister of Climate
Wanda Buk
Advisor to the President of Poland

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Published on 18 Jul at 12:35.

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Text generated by AI from the reports of the publishers listed and checked automatically, with no human editor. How Pollar is made

In this text

Background: the first referendum attemptBackground: the first referendum attemptThe Commission’s ETS reformThe Commission’s ETS reformThe financial arithmeticThe financial arithmeticA second referendum requestA second referendum requestWhat happens nextWhat happens next

Based on reports by

Rzeczpospolita, NIEZALEZNA.PL, TVN24, wpolityce.pl, Do Rzeczy

List of sources

Government · Warsaw and Brussels

Nawrocki to resubmit EU climate referendum request after Commission’s ETS reform, calling it cosmetic

President Karol Nawrocki will again ask the Senate to authorise a national referendum on EU climate policy, his office announced on 18 July 2026, one day after the European Commission presented its long-awaited ETS reform.

Warsaw
Brussels

Ask about this text

AI text based on reports by Rzeczpospolita, NIEZALEZNA.PL, TVN24 and other publishers. Published on 18 Jul at 12:35.

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