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For membersThe first 30 seconds for everyone. Synthetic voice (AI).

In brief

  • A New York Times and Siena University poll found 36 percent of likely voters approve of Trump and 59 percent disapprove, the lowest approval in that poll's history.

  • In the Washington Post, ABC News and Ipsos survey, Republicans led Democrats by one point on the economy in April but now trail by nine points.

  • In a Harvard Kennedy School poll, 63 percent of likely voters aged 18 to 29 said they would vote for Democrats and 26 percent for Republicans.

  • A Politico poll found 48 percent of Democratic voters are mainly voting to oppose Trump, against 38 percent of Republicans mainly voting to support him.

Photo: Daniel Torok, Public domain (Wikimedia Commons, cropped)

Approval falls to a new low

A New York Times and Siena University poll found that 36 percent of likely voters approve of Donald Trump's performance and 59 percent disapprove, the lowest approval that poll has recorded. A Washington Post, ABC News and Ipsos survey found that most Americans believe Trump is using the presidency to enrich himself, and his overall approval has also reached a new low. Voters in the Times poll disapproved of how he has handled the cost of living, the Iran war and gas prices. The White House, meanwhile, keeps describing a "new golden age" for the economy.

Trust shifts on the economy and immigration

The Post, ABC and Ipsos survey asked respondents which party they trust on a dozen issues, from affordability and corruption to taxes and transgender issues. Democrats drew a bigger share than Republicans on every issue except crime. Republicans led Democrats by one point on the economy in April, but now trail by nine points on the issue voters rank as a top concern. On immigration, a five-point Republican lead in April has turned into a two-point Democratic lead, almost two years into an administration crackdown that Trump has placed at the heart of his second term.

Young voters and the midterm agenda

A Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics poll found that among likely voters aged 18 to 29, 63 percent would vote for Democrats and 26 percent for Republicans. The economy is their top concern, and nearly half said their personal finances have worsened during Trump's second term. Nearly 90 percent said government corruption is a factor in how they will vote, and 64 percent said AI replacing jobs is a threat to their financial security.

Likely voters aged 18 to 29 by stated vote, Harvard poll%
Democrats63%
Republicans26%
Democrats
63 %
Republicans
26 %

Data from the article text

Motivation gap at the polls

A Politico poll found that 48 percent of Democratic midterm voters are mainly voting to oppose Trump, compared with 38 percent of Republicans who are mainly voting to show support for him. At a Georgia rally, Trump urged supporters to act as if he were on the ballot.

“You have to pretend I'm on the ballot.”

Donald Trump, president of the United States

Doug Heye, a longtime Republican strategist, told Politico that Trump is motivating Democrats more than Republicans. Natalie Baldassarre, a Republican National Committee spokesperson, responded that Politico did not need a poll to know Democrats are driven by hatred for Trump. Nearly half of Republican voters (48 percent) said their main motivation is backing a local candidate, compared with 37 percent of Democrats.

Main reason for voting in Politico poll%
Democratic voters: oppose Trump48%
Republican voters: support Trump38%
Democratic voters: oppose Trump
48 %
Republican voters: support Trump
38 %

Data from the article text

Tax cuts and energy costs

Republicans are campaigning on last year's tax cuts to keep control of the House and Senate. Representative Mike Lawler of New York has made the higher SALT deduction cap central to his campaign, in a district where Trump narrowly lost to Kamala Harris in 2024. Some voters doubt the tax benefit will sway them. Emer Flounders, a 43-year-old resident of the district, said:

“I mean, I don't think anybody wants to pay more taxes.”

Emer Flounders

Flounders added that he would not vote for Lawler. In Ohio, New York Times interviews found that electricity costs about 50 percent more than six years ago, and residents described data centers as threats to their communities. Few said they had been persuaded to cross party lines or to vote if they usually skip elections.

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Sources and context

  • The Guardian3 h agoAs midterms loom, Trump and his allies try to change the subject
  • The New York Times4 h agoWhy Anger About Data Centers and Energy Prices May Not Swing Votes
  • Washington Post5 h agoMidterm polls that caught our eye this week show Democratic gains among voters
  • The New York Times6 h agoRepublicans Cut Taxes to Win the Midterms. It May Not Work Out.
Donald Trump
President of the United States whose approval ratings and midterm strategy are the focus of the polls
Mike Lawler
Representative from New York who has made the higher SALT deduction cap central to his campaign

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Published today at 18:43.

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Text generated by AI from the reports of the publishers listed and checked automatically, with no human editor. How Pollar is made

In this text

  1. 1Approval falls to a new lowApproval falls to a new low
  2. 2Trust shifts on the economy and immigrationTrust shifts on the economy and immigration
  3. 3Young voters and the midterm agendaYoung voters and the midterm agenda
  4. 4Motivation gap at the pollsMotivation gap at the polls
  5. 5Tax cuts and energy costsTax cuts and energy costs

Where

Detroit

Based on reports by

The Guardian, The New York Times, Washington Post, The Independent, POLITICO

List of sources

Elections · Detroit, Pharr, and Marietta

Polls show Trump's midterm pitch backfiring as Democrats gain trust on most issues

Trump's approval hit a new low of 36 percent in one poll, and voters trust Democrats on nearly every issue tested, less than two weeks before the Nov. 3 midterms.

Detroit
Detroit, Pharr, Marietta · United States

Ask about this text

AI text based on reports by The Guardian, The New York Times, Washington Post and other publishers. Published today at 18:43.

Ask your own question
What is the current approval rating of Donald Trump in the New York Times and Siena University poll?
How it is made