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Today’s Brief

A Peshawar school roof collapses

Zelensky resumes refinery strikes as Peshawar school collapse kills dozens of children

Volodymyr Zelensky said Ukraine has resumed strikes on Russian refineries after a roughly three-day US-requested pause, as Kyiv counted more than 850 Shahed drones between midnight and 9am on 15 October. In Peshawar, a private-school roof collapsed onto classrooms, killing at least 32 children and a teacher in the latest hospital count.

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  • Ukraine peace talks in Miami

    A Ukrainian drone strike hits an oil refinery in Russia's Ryazan region, igniting a fire at the site, Russian authorities say.

  • US-Russia diesel deal dispute

    The Kremlin calls European opposition to the US-Russia diesel agreement destructive, while the White House defends the pact following criticism from Italy's Giorgia Meloni.

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    Volodymyr Zelensky arrives in Brussels for talks with EU leaders and NATO chief Mark Rutte, urging direct pressure on Russia.

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European Union · Updated 29m ago

The ageing Union's economy

Summit-day budget opposition and a possible Lagarde exit shift the anchor, but no joint funding instrument or treaty change was agreed.

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AI-generated text·How this text is made
Photo: © European Union, 2016, CC BY 4.0 (Wikimedia Commons, cropped)
Macro·2h ago

Lagarde could be named World Economic Forum chair on 2 November, bringing forward her ECB exit

The World Economic Forum board meets on 2 November and could elect Christine Lagarde as chair, which would bring forward her departure from the European Central Bank ahead of its October 2027 term end.

A board decision on 2 November

The World Economic Forum board, based in Geneva and including Lagarde herself, is due to meet on 2 November. Four people close to the organisation told Reuters that the board could elect the ECB president as its next chair at that session. They spoke anonymously because of the sensitivity of the matter and said no final decision has been taken. The board has 27 members, and Lagarde has broad support among them, although her election is not certain. If the board does not elect her on 2 November, it could instead set a date for a vote, which would let Lagarde appear as designated chair at the annual meeting in Davos in January.

Timing and the ECB succession

Lagarde's ECB term is scheduled to end in October 2027. An early departure would give EU leaders the chance to choose her successor before the French presidential election in spring 2027, according to Reuters and BFMTV. Sources also suggested a deal could cover two other senior ECB posts. Klaas Knot, former president of the Dutch central bank, and Pablo Hernández de Cos, former governor of the Bank of Spain, are named in press reports as possible successors. Three of the six seats on the ECB's Executive Board are set to fall vacant in the short term. Isabel Schnabel announced on 24 September that she will leave the bank in January to join the IMF.

Key dates in the WEF and ECB leadership succession
  1. Late August 2026NZZ reports Lagarde showed she was ready to serve as WEF chair
  2. Sep 24, 2026Isabel Schnabel announces she will leave the ECB in January to join the IMF
  3. Nov 2, 2026WEF board meets and could elect Lagarde as chair
  4. January 2027Annual meeting in Davos, where Lagarde could appear as designated chair
  5. October 2027Lagarde's scheduled ECB term ends

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The board behind the decision

The WEF board is co-chaired by Larry Fink, chief executive of BlackRock, and Andre Hoffmann, vice chairman of Roche. Hoffmann took on the role after founder Klaus Schwab stepped down last year. Other members named in the reporting include IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva, Queen Rania of Jordan, Salesforce's Marc Benioff and Siemens' Jim Hagemann Snabe. The board is seated in Geneva, and the annual meeting that could present Lagarde as designated chair takes place in Davos.

Lagarde's position and political reaction

Lagarde has said she intends to stay at the ECB until at least 2027, according to El Periódico. In an interview cited by Handelsblatt, she did not rule out stepping down a few months before her term ends. At a CNN discussion in Bangkok, during IMF and World Bank meetings, she declined to comment on a possible move to the WEF. The ECB has declined to comment, and the WEF had not responded to a request for comment. Marine Le Pen, interviewed by the Financial Times on 15 October and cited by BFMTV, did not directly condemn the prospect of Emmanuel Macron and Chancellor Friedrich Merz agreeing on a candidate before Lagarde leaves.

The Germans have, all the same, somewhat colonised all the important posts within the European Union.

Marine Le Pen

Le Pen then questioned Macron's negotiating skills. Reuters reports concern in European political circles that talks on her successor could become harder if Le Pen won the French presidency.

Geneva · Frankfurt · Davos
Christine LagardeMarine Le PenEmmanuel MacronFriedrich MerzIsabel SchnabelKlaus SchwabLarry FinkAndre HoffmannKlaas KnotPablo Hernández de Cos
Report a problem with this article
Emmanuel MacronFrankfurtGenevaChristine LagardeAndré HoffmannDavosFriedrich MerzIsabel Schnabel

6 sources

  • El Foro de Davos podría nombrar presidenta a Lagarde ya en noviembre
    El Periódico·3h ago
  • Christine Lagarde pourrait être nommée au Forum de Davos en novembre: son départ anticipé de la BCE permettrait de choisir son successeur avant la présidentielle de 2027
    BFMTV·3h ago
  • EZB: WEF könnte Lagarde Anfang November zur künftigen Chefin küren
    Handelsblatt·4h ago
  • Lagarde sempre più verso il Wef: a novembre la partita per il futuro della Bce
    lastampa.it·4h ago
  • WEF could appoint Lagarde as early as November - sources
    RTE.ie·5h ago
  • Lagarde poderá deixar BCE para liderar o Fórum Económico Mundial já em novembro, diz Reuters
    Observador·5h ago

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Macro·Sep 30
Photo: © European Union, 2016, CC BY 4.0 (Wikimedia Commons, cropped)

Christine Lagarde rejects 2027 French presidential run and clarifies ECB departure plans

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde confirmed she will not contest the French presidency in 2027, noting that any early exit from her ECB mandate would span only a few months.

Read article
Macro·6d ago
Photo: Grunpfnul, CC BY-SA 4.0 (Wikimedia Commons, cropped)

ECB policymakers dampen rate hike bets as Schnabel successor race opens

Euro zone finance ministers opened the process to replace Isabel Schnabel, who leaves the ECB on January 3, 2027, while several ECB policymakers said they are in no rush to raise rates again.

Read article
Macro·Sep 19

Lagarde hints at early ECB departure while pushing back on interest rate bets in Dublin

At an informal Eurogroup meeting in Dublin, ECB President Christine Lagarde kept open the option of stepping down before October 2027 while rejecting market expectations for several interest rate increases next year.

Read article