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In brief

  • A memo sent on Friday, 23 October 2026, from Jay Clayton to Marco Rubio says Iran has substantially increased efforts to target US personnel, with CIA Director John Ratcliffe copied.

  • On Wednesday, 21 October, nonessential US personnel and their families were ordered to leave Saudi Arabia, covering the Riyadh embassy and the Jeddah and Dhahran consulates.

  • On Friday, 23 October, staffing was reduced at embassies in Jordan, Lebanon, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates, which remain open under restricted operations status.

  • Three US officials said the threats from Iran and the Houthi rebels in Yemen are linked to the staffing changes, while the State Department's announcement named Houthi threats specifically.

  • US media reports cited by EFE say the US and Israel have drawn up plans for a new offensive after the 3 November legislative elections, with execution pending Donald Trump's decision.

Washington
Washington, Riyadh, Jeddah, Dhahran · United States, Saudi Arabia, Jordan
How it came to this
  1. 28 FebUS and Israel begin the war against Iran
  2. 21 OctNonessential personnel ordered to leave Saudi Arabia
  3. 23 OctClayton memo sent to Rubio; staffing cut at four embassies
  4. 3 NovLegislative elections; possible new offensive planned for the period after

Memo flags advanced plots

A memorandum sent on Friday, 23 October 2026, by Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton to Secretary of State Marco Rubio states that Iran has substantially stepped up efforts to target American personnel. Axios published the document first, and a US official later confirmed its authenticity to EFE. CIA Director John Ratcliffe was copied on the memo. The key sentence of the memo reads as follows.

“The lethal plotting efforts by the Iranians against U.S. citizens have reached advanced stages in both the Middle East and certain other countries.”

Jay Clayton, director of National Intelligence

Clayton wrote that some people who need access to the intelligence are not authorized to receive it. The material has already reached senior State Department officials, according to the reporting. No particular targets are named in the document, and it does not describe the form the plots would take.

Embassy staffing cuts

The cuts began in Saudi Arabia. On Wednesday, 21 October, nonessential US personnel and their families were ordered to leave the country, covering the embassy in Riyadh and consulates in Jeddah and Dhahran. On Friday, 23 October, the department reduced staffing at embassies in Jordan, Lebanon, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. All four already operate under restricted operations status, and they will stay open. Staff there are not compelled to leave, which sets them apart from Saudi Arabia.

Three US officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the threats from Iran and the Houthi rebels in Yemen are linked to these changes. The State Department's announcement pointed specifically to Houthi threats and did not mention direct Iranian threats to personnel. US officials also fear the Houthis could extend their attacks beyond Saudi Arabia to other countries in the region. US officials strongly denied that the reductions are tied to any possible new US and Israeli strikes on Iran.

Wider war and possible new offensive

The United States and Israel started the war against Iran on 28 February, and it is close to eight months old. US media reports cited by EFE say both allies have drawn up plans for a possible new offensive after the legislative elections on 3 November. Carrying those plans out depends on a decision by Donald Trump.

At a rally in Florida on Friday, 23 October, Trump laid out the choice in one sentence.

“We may do another little Operation Epic Fury, or [the Iranians] will agree [to a deal].”

Donald Trump, US president

In the same speech he said he doubted Iran would move toward talks, arguing that its leaders were not clever enough to do so.

Timeline and threat level

US agencies rate the threat to Americans in the Middle East and several other countries as the highest since the war began in February, US officials said. The sequence of events runs as follows.

The reporting ties any renewed offensive to the period after the 3 November vote, with the final call resting with Trump. Clayton has offered to lower the classification of most of the sensitive material so that Rubio can share it with staff who may be at risk.

This article is part of a thread

The Middle East after Gaza

What changed since this entry:

  1. 24/10US cuts embassy staff in Jordan, Lebanon, Qatar and the UAE after intelligence memo on Iranian plots
  2. 24/10US officials deny the staffing cuts are tied to imminent strikes on Iran
Open the thread

Next in today’s edition

Gunmen attack Hebron checkpoint; Israel orders demolitions and closuresTwo gunmen fired for about 20 minutes at an Israeli checkpoint near Hebron on the morning of Friday, 23 October, and troops killed both of them.Conflicts · 2 h ago
Today’s Brief · 5 min to listenMelania Trump brokers Oleshky truce for Ukraine evacuationLive · 2 storiesUS appeals to Cubans to work with CIA

Sources and context

  • Deutsche Welle2 h agoUS reveals that Iran is intensifying a plan to attack its officialsEE.UU. revela que Irán intensifica plan para atacar a sus funcionarios · original in Spanish
  • The New York Times3 h agoIran in 'Advanced Stages' of Planning Attacks Against Americans, Officials Say
  • Bloomberg Business3 h agoIran Plots, Houthi Attacks Spur US Departure Orders in Mideast
  • Handelsblatt4 h agoIran War: Iran apparently targets US diplomats in the Middle EastIran-Krieg: Iran nimmt offenbar US-Diplomaten in Nahost ins Visier · original in German
Jay Clayton
Director of National Intelligence who sent the memo to Marco Rubio warning of Iranian plots
Marco Rubio
US Secretary of State and national security adviser who received the intelligence memo
John Ratcliffe
CIA director who was copied on the memo
Donald Trump
US president whose decision will determine whether a new offensive against Iran goes ahead

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Published today at 05:28.

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Text generated by AI from the reports of the publishers listed and checked automatically, with no human editor. How Pollar is made

In this text

  1. 1Memo flags advanced plotsMemo flags advanced plots
  2. 2Embassy staffing cutsEmbassy staffing cuts
  3. 3Wider war and possible new offensiveWider war and possible new offensive
  4. 4Timeline and threat levelTimeline and threat level

Based on reports by

Deutsche Welle, The New York Times, Bloomberg Business, Handelsblatt, The Independent, Axios

List of sources
ThreadThe Middle East after Gaza

Conflicts · Washington, Riyadh, and Jeddah

US cuts embassy staff in four countries as intelligence warns of Iranian plots against Americans

Washington has ordered staff reductions at embassies across the Middle East after a memo said Iran has substantially increased efforts to target American personnel. Saudi Arabia faces a separate departure order.

Washington

Ask about this text

AI text based on reports by Deutsche Welle, The New York Times, Bloomberg Business and other publishers. Published today at 05:28.

Ask your own question
Which countries had their embassy staffing reduced on 23 October 2026?
Who sent the intelligence memo regarding Iranian plots to Marco Rubio?
How it is made