New Democracy leads Opinion Poll survey at 30.3%, 14.4 points ahead of Tsipras's ELAS

Vote estimate and seat projection

The Opinion Poll survey for Action 24, conducted between 7 and 12 October 2026, gives New Democracy 30.3% in the vote estimate, a fall of 0.7 points from the September survey. Tsipras's Greek Left Alliance (ELAS) is second with 15.9%, followed by PASOK at 12.3%. The gap between the first and second parties is 14.4 points.

On the seat projection, the survey points to a nine-party parliament, with New Democracy at 122 seats, 29 short of the 151 needed for a single-party majority, ELAS at 48, PASOK at 37, the KKE at 21, Greek Solution at 20, Plefsi Eleftherias at 16, Elpida for Democracy at 14, and Phoni Logikis and Symmachia Ellinon at 11 each. The survey's own conclusion is that no majority is achieved, which leaves the question of a coalition government or a second election.

Cost of living and government performance

Cost of living is the most serious problem for 59% of respondents, ahead of the economy and growth at 27.2% and the energy crisis and fuel costs at 21.2%. Of those who blame someone for high prices, 50.4% put the responsibility on the government's inability to deal with the problem, 22% on external international factors and 25.9% on both. A total of 76.2% say the government is slow to take measures.

Asked to rate the government's term so far, 66.3% gave negative or rather negative views, against 31.7% positive. Among the energy measures, the 120-instalment arrangement is rated positively by 60.3%, and stricter terms for servicers by 55.6%. The cap on heating oil below 1.75 euros per litre is rated positively by 53.6%, while the diesel subsidy draws negative views from 50.8%.

Intention to vote and leaders

In voting intention, New Democracy has 25.5%, ELAS 13.3% and PASOK 10.4%, with undecided voters at 15.7%. The KKE stands at 6.1%, Greek Solution at 5.8% and Plefsi Eleftherias at 4.3%. Kyriakos Mitsotakis remains the preferred prime minister at 27.4%, ahead of Alexis Tsipras at 13.1% and Nikos Androulakis at 7.1%, while 26.5% pick 'none'.

Visit by Marco Rubio

The poll also asked about the visit to Greece by the American Secretary of State Marco Rubio. 48.6% said the visit strengthened Greece's national positions, while 47% disagreed. A total of 55.9% believe the energy alliance with the United States strengthens Greece's security, against 40.8% who do not.

The Interview poll for Politcal, published separately, puts New Democracy at 29.6% in the vote estimate, with ELAS at 15.7% and PASOK at 14.6%, a gap of 13.9 points. Its voting intention shows New Democracy at 27%, ELAS 14.3% and PASOK 13.3%, with 8.8% undecided.