Progressive El-Sayed edges Stevens in Michigan Senate primary, setting up November showdown with Rogers

A narrow win after a long night

Abdul El-Sayed, a 41-year-old doctor and former Wayne County health department director, won the Democratic Senate primary in Michigan on 4 August 2026, defeating four-term Congresswoman Haley Stevens by less than one percentage point. With 99 percent of estimated votes counted, El-Sayed led 48.5 percent to 47.5 percent, a margin far narrower than pre-election polls had projected. The contest to replace retiring Senator Gary Peters drew the highest turnout in the history of Michigan's Democratic primaries, according to the state party chairman. El-Sayed took the stage after midnight, telling supporters he could not yet declare victory. "I wish I could tell you that I was declaring victory right about now. It turns out it takes a long time to count some votes in Michigan. It's a big state," he said. With about 80 percent of the statewide vote tallied, he told supporters "we are still standing" and urged Democrats to unite behind whoever emerged as the nominee.

Money and endorsements

The primary became a proxy battle over the direction of the Democratic Party. Stevens was endorsed by Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, and other party leaders. Counting all advertising and reserved airtime, spending on the race reached $98.2 million by the end of July, making it one of the most expensive Senate primaries in US history. Outside spending in support of Stevens totaled $62 million, with over half coming from the United Democracy Project, the super PAC affiliated with AIPAC. El-Sayed, who campaigned on getting money out of politics and ending unconditional military aid to Israel, told supporters they had weathered the onslaught.

I want you to remind them that if we come through this, when we come through this, inshallah, that we'll have taken $70m on the chin and kept fighting back.

The progressive wave and what comes next

El-Sayed was backed by Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. His platform includes single-payer healthcare, stronger worker protections, abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement, and a critical stance on US policy toward the war in Gaza. His victory follows the election of Zohran Mamdani as mayor of New York, consolidating a series of wins for the progressive wing. Born in Detroit to an Egyptian immigrant father and a Michigan-born mother, El-Sayed graduated from the University of Michigan, Columbia, and Oxford as a Rhodes Scholar. He previously ran for governor in 2018 but lost the Democratic nomination.

When NBC News projected his victory, El-Sayed struck a different tone.

Always magnanimity in victory.

He then addressed his November opponent: "Mike, and I know you're listening, Mike, we are coming for you." He will face Republican former congressman Mike Rogers, who is supported by Donald Trump, in a race that could determine control of the Senate.

Republican calculations and Democratic divisions

Republicans hold 53 Senate seats and see Michigan, which Trump won in 2024, as a pickup opportunity. Senator John Cornyn of Texas welcomed the Democratic shift, calling it "self-destructing."

I think the Democrats are making it easier on Republicans by, you know, 'What's your choice between a Republican and a crazy person?'

Senator Thom Tillis noted the narrow margin gives Republicans an opening to court disaffected Stevens voters who may be pro-Israel or wary of the left. Trump labeled El-Sayed a "Communist loser who hates Jews and Israel." Schumer and Senator Kirsten Gillibrand congratulated El-Sayed, saying Democrats are "united by a common purpose." But centrist Democrats are organizing: Jonathan Cowan of Third Way told The New York Times the group is launching a $15 million initiative through 2028 to discredit democratic socialism.

We are preparing for the next war that is coming.