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For membersThe first 30 seconds for everyone. Synthetic voice (AI).

In brief

  • All 435 House seats and 35 of the 100 Senate seats are up on 3 November 2026, and Democrats need four additional Senate seats to secure a majority.

  • A Reuters poll put Trump's approval at 31 percent on Tuesday, 20 October, a new low for the president ahead of the midterms.

  • Democrat James Talarico, 37, faces Republican Ken Paxton, the Trump-backed Texas attorney general who won the primary against John Cornyn despite corruption allegations and an impeachment process.

  • By the morning of 23 October the Election Lab in Gainesville had counted about 21.8 million votes, including 12.4 million mail ballots and about 9.4 million in-person early votes.

  • Nearly 150 ballot measures appear on 3 November in almost all states, with Louisiana voters deciding on 15 topics alone.

Gainesville
Gainesville, Washington · United States

A vote in the middle of Trump's term

Voters in the United States go to the polls on 3 November 2026 to elect all 435 members of the House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 Senate seats. The midterms fall in the middle of Donald Trump's presidency, so they are traditionally read as a verdict on him, even though he is not on the ballot. Republicans currently control both chambers of Congress. Trump's approval has slipped further, and a Reuters poll put it at 31 percent on Tuesday, 20 October, a new low.

What Democrats need in the Senate

A Democratic House majority is almost taken for granted, but winning the Senate requires four more seats than the party holds now. Those gains would have to come from very different states. In Texas the Democrats have put forward James Talarico, a 37-year-old theology graduate training to become a pastor, who speaks openly about his Christian faith. His campaign slogan is "Love thy neighbor", and he travels across Texas handing out food to people in need. The Republicans are running Ken Paxton, the Trump-backed state attorney general who beat the longtime, more moderate senator John Cornyn in the party primary. Paxton faced corruption allegations and an impeachment process, and he has repeatedly clashed with fellow Republicans.

Political scientist David Crockett of Trinity University in Texas places the Republicans' problems at the center of Talarico's prospects.

“Talarico is a good candidate. But given the Republicans' problems, he would have a chance even if he were less eloquent.”

David Crockett

Many Texan voters regard Paxton as unelectable.

Early voting ahead of election day

By the morning of 23 October, the Election Lab at the university in Gainesville had counted about 21.8 million votes cast before election day. The count included 12.4 million mail ballots and about 9.4 million in-person early votes. According to NPR, more voters in key swing states have cast ballots early than at the same point before the previous midterms four years ago. Trump has repeatedly tried to make postal voting harder, while Democratic voters have traditionally relied on it more often. Pew Research Center estimates that around 250 million people in the United States are eligible to vote.

Votes cast before 3 November, as counted on 23 Octobermillion votes
Mail ballots12.4
In-person early votes9.4
Mail ballots
12.4 million votes
In-person early votes
9.4 million votes

Data from the article text

Ballot measures and down-ballot races

Voters will also decide on a wide range of other questions. Across almost all states about 150 ballot measures are on the ballot, and Louisiana voters alone can vote on 15 topics, from tax exemptions for renovating derelict buildings to the removal of a debt clause for state pensions. North Dakota will vote on free school meals for all pupils, Arizona on abolishing automated license plate recognition in traffic, and Idaho on writing English into the state constitution as the only official language. Judges, sheriffs and mayors are also elected in many states, and the gun-safety group Everytown for Gun Safety is backing Democratic attorney general candidates with ten million dollars.

Trump's closing campaign

Since early October Trump has travelled from state to state ahead of the vote, holding rallies in Kansas, Ohio, Georgia and Texas. At a rally in Kansas in the week of 19 October, he warned that what viewers saw in France, burning church towers and blazing fires, was what radical Democrats planned for America. He has also framed the midterms as a referendum on himself, urging supporters to imagine he were on the ballot. Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1930 and is generally considered deep red, which makes the visit a sign of Republican worries. Some Republicans now doubt whether his campaign help is having the intended effect.

Next in today’s edition

Suspect held after shooting spree in Trappes and La VerrièreA 39-year-old man is suspected of firing from a car at people in two towns west of Paris on Friday, 23 October, killing one and wounding others.Safety · 1 h ago
Today’s Brief · 5 min to listenAnti-terror prosecutors take over Paris-area shooting after gunman kills oneLive · 5 storiesFrench security measures ahead of protests

Sources and context

  • SRF News2 h agoLeft, moderate, religious: The US Democrats reach for the SenateLinks, moderat, religiös: Die US-Demokraten greifen nach dem Senat · original in German
  • watson.ch/2 h agoUS midterms: Already significantly more votes in swing statesUS-Midterms: Bereits deutlich mehr Stimmabgaben in Swing States · original in German
  • TheJournal.ie4 h agoWhat could the US midterms mean for Trump's final two years?
  • Süddeutsche Zeitung4 h agoForecasts for the 2026 midterms: Can the Democrats really win?Prognosen zu den Midterms 2026: Können die Demokraten wirklich gewinnen? · original in German
Donald Trump
US president whose approval is falling ahead of the midterms and who is campaigning for Republican candidates
James Talarico
Democratic Senate candidate in Texas, 37, who speaks openly about his Christian faith
Ken Paxton
Republican Senate nominee in Texas and the state's attorney general, backed by Trump
John Cornyn
Longtime Texas Republican senator who lost the party primary to Ken Paxton

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Published today at 18:12.

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Text generated by AI from the reports of the publishers listed and checked automatically, with no human editor. How Pollar is made

In this text

  1. 1A vote in the middle of Trump's termA vote in the middle of Trump's term
  2. 2What Democrats need in the SenateWhat Democrats need in the Senate
  3. 3Early voting ahead of election dayEarly voting ahead of election day
  4. 4Ballot measures and down-ballot racesBallot measures and down-ballot races
  5. 5Trump's closing campaignTrump's closing campaign

Based on reports by

SRF News, watson.ch/, TheJournal.ie, Süddeutsche Zeitung, N-tv, Handelsblatt, stern.de

List of sources

Elections · Gainesville and Washington

Democrats need four more Senate seats as 3 November midterms approach

All 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats go to voters on 3 November, with Republicans holding both chambers. Democrats need four more Senate seats, and Texas is one of the contests that will decide whether they get them.

Gainesville

Ask about this text

AI text based on reports by SRF News, watson.ch/, TheJournal.ie and other publishers. Published today at 18:12.

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