Elections · Washington

US midterm ad spending tops $3.8 billion as top 20 donors give about $2 billion

Republican advertisers lead in seven of the eight most contested Senate races, while Elon Musk has given more than any other donor, according to analyses published on 1 November.

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Washington · United States

Ad spending runs ahead of the 2024 pace

More than $3.8 billion in advertising for the congressional races has been transmitted to the Federal Election Commission, according to an analysis by Arcadia, which puts the sum $872.2 million ahead of the same point in the 2024 cycle. Of that total, $2.3 billion is tied to the general election, and another $837.7 million has already been booked through polling day. A separate figure cited by Open, drawing on FEC and AdImpact data, places overall campaign spending at no less than $11.6 billion and says it has already exceeded the 2024 presidential race. Corriere della Sera analysis, cited by Open, traces the escalation to the 2010 Citizens United ruling, which allowed unlimited super PAC funding as long as those committees stay independent of candidates.

Ad spending reported to the FEC by categorymillion USD
General election
2300 million USD
Booked through election day
837.7 million USD

Data from the article text

Republicans lead the early battleground buys

Three weeks before election day, Republican advertisers led in ad spending already transmitted in seven of the eight most contested Senate races, according to Arcadia, and in 25 of the 42 House contests that the Cook Political Report rates Toss Up or Lean. The pattern reverses 2024, when Democrats led in seven of the eight Senate battlegrounds and in 34 of the 42 House races at the same stage. Republicans have also placed a record $1.3 billion in Senate election advertising so far, a figure above the party's total final spending in both 2022 and 2024. The comparison covers money already transmitted, so the balance could still shift before the vote.

Top donors and the megadonor tilt

The New York Times' updated ranking, which counts contributions through the mid-October filing deadline, found that the top 20 donors have put roughly $2 billion into federal races this cycle. AdImpact, cited by the Times, equates that to about 15 percent of all money to be spent on ads this cycle. Three new megadonors, all Democrats, entered the list since the August ranking, but the paper says the biggest spenders still lean Republican and toward tech. The Times notes that the party is hoping its ties to tech billionaires and other mega-contributors will help offset headwinds including what it calls an unpopular war with Iran and high consumer prices. Le Temps reports that the 45 largest donors gave about $2.6 billion of the $5.3 billion contributed in gifts of $10,000 or more.

Elon Musk at the top of the list

Le Temps, citing FEC figures through 14 October 2026, reports that Elon Musk has given at least $407 million since February 2025, while Open puts his Republican giving at no less than $446 million. Le Temps calls him the largest individual donor in modern US history. The Times says he has contributed nearly three times as much as the next-closest donor, and its total leaves out tens of millions of dollars, including money given after 14 October or to entities that do not file with the FEC. He also spent more than $200 million to help elect Ken Paxton, the Texas attorney general, to the Senate, including through an extensive field campaign in Texas. Other donations from Musk went to political groups active in the Kentucky and Alaska races.

Reported contributions of largest individual donorsmillion USD
Elon Musk
446 million USD
Richard and Elizabeth Uihlein
150 million USD
Jeff Yass
110 million USD
George Soros
102 million USD
Michael Bloomberg
84 million USD
Reid Hoffman
41 million USD

Data from the article text

Other large donors and candidates

Richard and Elizabeth Uihlein, founders of the packaging and shipping supplier Uline, gave close to $150 million, and financier Jeff Yass, a ByteDance shareholder, gave $110 million, according to Open. On the Democratic side, George Soros gave $102 million and Michael Bloomberg gave $84 million, while Reid Hoffman, LinkedIn co-founder and a former business partner of Musk, gave about $41 million. Candidates have also drawn large direct sums: James Talarico raised nearly $150 million for his Texas race against Paxton, and Abdul El Sayed raised about $53 million in Michigan. Open notes that Jon Ossoff is running in Georgia and that Sherrod Brown is seeking to win back the Ohio Senate seat he lost in 2024.

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