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Russia spurns ceasefires as attacks, sanctions and cyber shocks stretch governments across Europe

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A cabinet resignation in Germany's coalition and a modest Le Pen poll rise fit established trends without a court or legislative break.

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© L'Opinion
Migration·2h ago

Bardella and Abascal unite in Ceuta, pitching migration curbs before Spain's 29 November vote

French far-right leader Jordan Bardella and Vox chief Santiago Abascal visited Ceuta on Monday, 12 October, calling the enclave 'the future of Europe' if borders are not retaken. The two-day trip comes weeks before Spain's 29 November snap election.

Bardella in Ceuta

Jordan Bardella, president of the Rassemblement national, presented his immigration proposals in Ceuta on Monday, 12 October, alongside Vox leader Santiago Abascal. The visit fell on Spain's national day and opened a two-day trip to Spain. Ceuta was the scene of a mass entry in late July, when more than 70,000 people crossed illegally from neighbouring Morocco on 30 and 31 July. Most of them returned to Morocco, but the influx triggered a political crisis in Madrid and sharp tensions within the European Union. Speaking to the press in the enclave, Bardella described the situation there.

It is the future of Europe if we do not urgently take back control of our national and European borders.

— Jordan Bardella
Key dates in the Ceuta, Spain and France timeline
  1. 30-31 July 2026More than 70,000 people enter Ceuta illegally from Morocco
  2. Oct 12, 2026Bardella and Abascal visit Ceuta on Spain's national day
  3. Nov 29, 2026Snap parliamentary elections held in Spain
  4. Spring 2027Bardella says France would seek to restrict Schengen free movement to EU nationals, if elected

Accusations against Madrid

Bardella blamed the regularisation of undocumented migrants decided by Madrid, which he said had 'kicked off a rush towards Europe' and created an 'appel d'air' with 'very serious consequences'. He criticised French support for the Spanish prime minister, Pedro Sanchez, 'in his migratory fanaticism'. He praised Giorgia Meloni for 'temporarily suspending free movement within the Schengen area with Spain', calling it a courageous and responsible decision. Bardella said that from spring 2027, if the French grant the RN their trust, France would seek to reserve free movement in Schengen exclusively for European nationals. Asked about youthful antisemitic remarks that Mediapart attributes to him, he again denied them and said the affair had 'fizzled out'.

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Mutual endorsements

Abascal gave Bardella his backing to become the 'future Prime Minister of France' if Marine Le Pen wins the presidency in May. In return, Bardella urged Spaniards to vote for Vox in the snap parliamentary elections on 29 November. Bardella said that with renewed governments and patriots in power, the two countries could count on each other to secure Europe's borders. The National Rally hopes a strong Vox result will create momentum across Europe. Le Pen is eyeing victory in next year's French presidential race, and Bardella has been working to firm up his party's European alliances.

Spain's electoral arithmetic

Spain heads to snap elections on 29 November, and Vox hopes to make significant gains. A parliamentary majority requires 176 seats. An El Pais survey puts the conservative People's Party (PP) and Vox together at 198 seats, with Vox's support predicted to double from the 2023 election. If the PP formed a coalition with Vox, it would be the first time the hard right returned to power in Spain since Francisco Franco died in 1975. Sanchez's Socialists are predicted to win 112 seats, down from 121 three years ago. Vox national spokesman Jose Antonio Fuster said:

There is hope for Spain with these elections. We will fight for victory and to convince Spaniards we are worth voting for.

— Jose Antonio Fuster

In 2023 the PP won the most votes without a majority, and Sanchez's Socialists formed a government with the help of Together for Catalonia. Since then the PP has formed four regional governments with Vox, and the two parties share power in about 100 councils.

Spain seat figures: projections and majority threshold · seats
Majority threshold
176
PP and Vox combined (El Pais survey)
198
PSOE predicted (November)
112
PSOE 2023 result
121
Majority threshold
176 seats
PP and Vox combined (El Pais survey)
198 seats
PSOE predicted (November)
112 seats
PSOE 2023 result
121 seats

Abascal's verdict on Sanchez

Abascal once told the Spanish parliament that Sanchez's government was the 'worst for the past 80 years'. Vox distances itself from the Franco dictatorship, according to Steven Forti, an expert in the far right who lectures at the Autonomous University of Barcelona. Polls put Vox closer to power than at any point in its short history, with the November vote now the decisive test for the PP and Vox coalition option.

Ceuta · Madrid · Paris
Jordan BardellaSantiago AbascalMarine Le PenPedro SanchezGiorgia MeloniJose Antonio Fuster
CeutaParisGiorgia MeloniJordan BardellaJosé Antonio FusterMadridMadrytMarine Le Pen

4 sources

  • " Ceuta, c'est le futur de l'Europe " : en Espagne, Jordan Bardella durcit le ton sur l'immigration
    L'Opinion·10h ago
  • A Ceuta, Bardella fait front commun avec l'extrême droite espagnole avant les élections
    France 24·11h ago
  • French, Spanish far-right leaders unite ahead of key elections
    POLITICO·12h ago
  • Far right surges as housing crisis, antimigrant sentiment threaten Sanchez
    Al Jazeera Online·12h ago

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