Discoveries · Melbourne
Wildlife trade covers 107,356 species, more than double earlier estimates
Researchers led from the University of Melbourne report in Science Advances that the trade includes timber, medicinal plants, pets and fungi, and that its legal share far exceeds the illegal one.
AI text based on reports by Süddeutsche Zeitung, RP Online, Notícias ao Minuto and other publishers. Published . How it is made
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In brief
The study, published on 30 October 2026 in Science Advances, counts 107,356 species traded, against about 50,000 in the earlier IPBES estimate.
The researchers calculate legal trade at 220 to 300 billion US dollars a year and illegal trade at 28.4 to 39.5 billion dollars.
Traded populations are on average 50 to 60 percent smaller than untraded ones, and trade has contributed to the extinction of 294 species worldwide.
The US Lemis system has covered trade in more than 21,000 wild animal species since 2000, while 54 percent of traded mammal species appear only in that database.
A count more than double earlier estimates
Researchers led from the University of Melbourne report in Science Advances, published on 30 October 2026, that at least 107,356 wild animal, plant and fungus species are traded around the world. That is more than double the roughly 50,000 species put forward in an earlier analysis by IPBES, the intergovernmental science-policy platform on biodiversity. The new count includes more than 47,000 animal species and almost 50,000 plant species in use or trade. The study draws on more comprehensive datasets and on newer research that tracked species sold online for decoration. The authors say the true number could be considerably higher, because many countries lack systematic data on trade and harvesting. According to El País, the study combined almost ten databases, and the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species (CITES) is the main source, recording 40,980 species, the vast majority of them plants.
- Earlier IPBES estimate
- 50000 species
- New study, published 30 October 2026
- 107356 species
Data from the article text
Legal trade makes up most of the value
According to the researchers' calculations, legal trade is worth 220 to 300 billion US dollars a year, or 197 to 268 billion euros. Illegal trade is estimated at 28.4 to 39.5 billion dollars. Most of the trade is therefore legal, although public attention tends to go to smuggling. Alice Hughes, the study's lead author, said that people usually think of illegal trade in elephants, tigers and pangolins when wildlife trade comes up, but the trade covers far more.
“The dimensions of trade have changed. Without monitoring it in a representative way, we cannot manage it.”
Effects on wild populations
Where data exist, traded populations are on average 50 to 60 percent smaller than populations that are not traded. The study links trade directly or indirectly to the global extinction of 294 species. A further 25 species have disappeared from the wild and now survive only in human care. In 192 cases, populations have vanished completely from a region. The study frames these losses as the consequence of unsustainable removal from nature.
- Extinct worldwide, trade a direct or indirect contributor
- 294 species
- Extinct in the wild, surviving only in captivity
- 25 species
Data from the article text
Gaps in monitoring
The study says monitoring is patchy, and the pet and ornamental trade is the hardest part to capture. Online sales of exotic animals have grown, and earlier estimates did not keep pace with that change. Molly Brown, programme officer for wildlife use and trade at IUCN and a co-author, called the findings a reality check and said the count is still an underestimate. Hughes made a similar point:
“At the moment, we are completely underestimating what modern trade looks like.”
The United States has the strongest record, since its Lemis information system has documented trade in more than 21,000 wild animal species since 2000. Even so, 25 percent of the traded bird species and 54 percent of the traded mammal species in the original study appear only in that US database. According to El País, FAO data covers fisheries well but not aquarium fish, and the International Tropical Timber Organization tracks timber. TRAFFIC records illegal seizures, which represent only a small part of the total volume.
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Sources and context
- Süddeutsche ZeitungNature conservation: Humans trade twice as many species as previously assumedNaturschutz: Der Mensch handelt mit doppelt so vielen Arten wie bislang angenommen · original in German
- RP OnlineAnimals, plants, fungi: Study: Trade in wild species is much larger than thoughtTiere, Pflanzen, Pilze: Studie: Handel mit wilden Arten ist viel größer als gedacht · original in German
- Süddeutsche ZeitungStudy: Trade in wild species is much larger than thoughtStudie: Handel mit wilden Arten ist viel größer als gedacht · original in German
- Notícias ao MinutoStudy points to more than 100,000 wild species tradedEstudo aponta mais de 100 mil espécies selvagens comercializadas · original in Portuguese
- Alice Hughes
- Lead author of the study and professor at the University of Melbourne
- Places
- Melbourne
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