Politics & EconomyEconomy

Macro

Macro·from Oct 7·upd. 3d ago

Oil above $100 drives global bond selloff, pushing UK gilt yields to highest since 2007

Brent crude rose 4.7% to $104.87 a barrel on Thursday, fuelling a global bond selloff that pushed UK 10-year gilt yields to 5.527%, their highest since July 2007.

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Macro·from Oct 7·upd. 4d ago
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Germany raises 2026 growth forecast to 1.3% on state spending and exports

Economy Minister Katherina Reiche lifted the 2026 economic growth forecast from 0.5% to 1.3%, citing infrastructure spending and export demand while warning of labour shortages.

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Macro·5d ago
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IMF chief warns dual pressures of AI surge and high energy costs threaten global stability

Speaking in Singapore ahead of the annual IMF and World Bank meetings in Bangkok, Kristalina Georgieva urged governments to rein in debt and broaden access to artificial intelligence technology.

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Macro·from Oct 8·upd. 3d ago
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Bank of England picks puffin, barn owl, bumblebee and hedgehog for new banknotes

The Bank of England said on Thursday that four British animals will replace Winston Churchill and other historical figures on its next notes. The choice followed a public vote that drew almost 500,000 people.

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Macro·4d ago
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Poland leaves key interest rate at 3.75% as central bank weighs energy price inflation

The Monetary Policy Council kept Poland's reference rate unchanged on 7 October, as Governor Adam Glapiński cited global energy shocks and pointed to gold reserves reaching nearly 673 tonnes.

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Macro·from Oct 8·upd. 3d ago
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European stocks retreat and Brent oil tops $105 as bond yields climb

European bourses lost ground on 8 October 2026 as Brent crude climbed above $105 per barrel following Middle East shipping disruptions, while sovereign debt yields remained elevated in Europe and the United States.

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Macro·5d ago
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African Union launches AfCRA rating agency in Mauritius to evaluate sovereign debt

The African Union launched the Africa Credit Rating Agency in Port Louis on Wednesday, establishing an independent entity to evaluate sovereign and corporate debt across member states.

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Macro·3d ago
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ECB policymakers dampen rate hike bets as Schnabel successor race opens

Euro zone finance ministers opened the process to replace Isabel Schnabel, who leaves the ECB on January 3, 2027, while several ECB policymakers said they are in no rush to raise rates again.

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Macro·from Oct 7·upd. 4d ago
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Spain moves to raise minimum wage before November election as inflation hits 4.9%

Labour Minister Yolanda Díaz has ordered an advisory panel to submit 2027 minimum wage recommendations within three weeks, seeking to protect purchasing power and enact the increase before Spaniards vote on 29 November.

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Macro·6d ago
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Irish government to unveil €8.65 billion budget package with tax cuts and childcare caps

Ministers Simon Harris and Jack Chambers will present Ireland's Budget 2027 at 1pm, outlining €7 billion in spending measures and €1.65 billion in tax adjustments backed by a €6.9 billion fiscal surplus.

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Macro·from Oct 2·upd. Oct 3
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US job growth slows to 29,000 in September as unemployment rises to 4.2%

US employers added 29,000 nonfarm payrolls in September 2026, missing consensus expectations of 90,000 and lowering financial market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate increase in October.

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Macro·from Oct 1·upd. Oct 2
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European bond spreads widen as French 10-year yield climbs to 4.92% and German Bund demand surges

Sovereign bond spreads across France and Italy widened against German Bunds on 2 October 2026, driven by French fiscal consolidation plans and a global reassessment of public debt trajectories.

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