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Today’s Brief

Nine ships and one algorithm

Trump tightens Iran blockade as Europe reins in Google and Ukraine reshuffles under fire

The day split between hard power and rule-making. Washington pressed Iran at sea, Kyiv fought both Russian missiles and its own cabinet feud, while Brussels reached into Google's phone software. France, meanwhile, voted to let some patients choose the manner of their death.

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  • US-Iran military escalation

    Escalated US airstrikes continue for a sixth night, targeting strategic sites, port cities, and locations across the Strait of Hormuz, according to regional reports.

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World · Updated 11m ago

China and the West: decoupling

The UK nationalised a major strategic asset from Chinese ownership, a state-led intervention that moves de-risking into the realm of heavy industry and capital control.

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© The New York Times
Elections·1h ago

Trump to use primetime address to revive 2020 election fraud claims as Republicans brace for fallout

President Trump's planned primetime address on election integrity Thursday evening has triggered a wave of anxiety among Republicans and sharp pushback from Democrats, as aides fear he may go off-script and repeat debunked claims about the 2020 election.

Leavitt returns to the podium

Press secretary Karoline Leavitt returned from eight weeks of maternity leave on Thursday afternoon and immediately faced questions about the president's planned primetime address. She described it as a "major address to the nation on protecting the integrity of our elections" and promised the allegations would be "backed by facts and by evidence." Leavitt brushed off anonymous sources speculating about the content, telling reporters that "nobody knows yet what President Trump will ultimately say, which is why everyone should tune in." The briefing came as multiple outlets reported that Trump intends to use the 9 p.m. ET speech to declassify intelligence and revive claims about the 2020 election.

Republican nerves over the script

Behind the scenes, Republican operatives and former administration officials expressed deep unease. One former Trump administration official, granted anonymity to speak candidly, told Politico: "The people I talk to are scared shitless. It's not scared shitless about the text of what he's going to say; it's, what does he add to the text?" Aides have drafted a version of the speech they believe is grounded in claims fully supported by intelligence, but a rival camp including acting DNI Bill Pulte and media figure John Solomon is pushing Trump to go further. Senator John Kennedy (R-La.) said he would reserve judgment but stressed that cost of living is what keeps voters awake at night. "That's what I believe, but he's the president and he was elected by the people and he can talk about whatever he wants," Kennedy said.

The people I talk to are scared shitless. It's not scared shitless about the text of what he's going to say; it's, what does he add to the text?

— former Trump administration official

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Georgia senators strike first

Senators Raphael Warnock and John Ossoff, whose 2020 runoff victories gave Democrats the Senate majority, did not wait for the speech. Ossoff called Trump "the world's most famous sore loser" and said any claim that Georgia's elections were illegitimate would be an attack on the state's voters. Warnock posted on X that Trump is a "liar, a cheater and a fraud" and added: "The president can spend every day relitigating 2020 if he wants. I'll spend every day doing the job the people of Georgia elected me to do." Both senators framed the expected allegations as a distraction from the war in the Middle East and rising living costs.

The world's most famous sore loser will deliver a prime-time address to pursue his six-year-old grievances about the 2020 election while his war in the Middle East spirals out of control and the cost of living continues to rise for Americans.

— John Ossoff

Intelligence and the 2020 record

Democrats on the House Intelligence Committee sent a letter to spy chiefs on Thursday urging them to prevent selective declassification of intelligence that could "relitigate debunked 2020 election conspiracies." The letter cited the 2021 Intelligence Community Assessment, which found "no indications that any foreign actor attempted to interfere in the 2020 US elections by altering any technical aspect of the voting process." The assessment also noted that China "considered but did not deploy" influence operations. Representative Jim Himes, the committee's ranking Democrat, wrote in a New York Times opinion piece that "we have no credible evidence that they attempt to change the actual vote count or disrupt the casting of ballots, let alone that they have succeeded."

What comes next

The speech is expected to last roughly 20 minutes and will be used to build urgency around the SAVE America Act, which has stalled in the Senate. Former White House chief strategist Steve Bannon argued the revelations would be "the exact tonic the MAGA grassroots base need to fire them up" ahead of November's midterm elections. But the internal White House debate reflects a broader anxiety about Trump's waning inhibition as his term progresses. One person familiar with the dynamics told Politico that the influence of more moderating voices is "waning." The outcome of that internal struggle will become clear when Trump steps before the cameras.

The election integrity revelations coming on Thursday and thereafter will be the exact tonic the MAGA grassroots base need to fire them up -- to remind them of what they are really fighting for in these crucial November elections.

— Steve Bannon
Buildup to Trump's primetime address
  1. Jul 16, 02:00 PMPress secretary Karoline Leavitt holds first briefing since maternity leave, says speech will be 'backed by facts and by evidence'
  2. Jul 16, 03:00 PMHouse Intelligence Committee Democrats send letter urging spy chiefs to prevent selective declassification of intelligence
  3. Jul 16, 09:00 PMTrump scheduled to deliver primetime address on election integrity from the White House
Washington · Atlanta
Karoline LeavittDonald TrumpRaphael WarnockJohn OssoffJohn KennedySteve BannonBill PulteJohn Solomon
Donald TrumpNew York CityWashington, D.C.Joe BidenBarack ObamaUnited StatesMarco RubioJohn F. KennedyGeorge W. Bush

8 sources

  • Karoline Leavitt revealed something worrying about Trump's psyche and the midterms
    The Independent·2h ago
  • Warnock and Ossoff, Georgia's Senators, Ridicule Trump's Election Fraud Claims
    The New York Times·3h ago
  • How Trump might try to relitigate 2020 -- and the facts he's up against
    POLITICO·3h ago
  • House Dems warn of weaponized intel ahead of Trump's speech
    POLITICO·6h ago
  • Opinion | Trump's Election Denial Has Never Been More Dangerous
    The New York Times·7h ago
  • Republicans are 'scared' Trump will ad-lib his election interference speech: report
    The Independent·8h ago
  • Trump puts Republicans in a primetime bind
    POLITICO·12h ago
  • 'Scared s-tless': Republicans brace for Trump's primetime speech
    POLITICO·13h ago

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