Your privacy choices

We use analytics to improve Pollar and, with your consent, marketing tools (Meta, X) to measure our ads. You can change this anytime in Settings.

Privacy policy
Pollar
HomeAskLiveSearchMapMarketsNotificationsFor You
BriefThreadsMarkets
Privacy

Today’s Brief

Gaza handover, Ankara loyalty tests

Hamas hands Gaza to technocrats as NATO rearms and heat tests Europe

The past half-day brought a little movement in Gaza, more pressure on Ukraine's air defences, and a NATO summit that looks less like ceremony than an invoice. Europe also sweated through another dangerous heatwave, while DR Congo's Ebola outbreak crossed a grim marker.

Read the Brief
Reader-supported

Free to read, and staying that way

No ads. Membership keeps Pollar independent.

Support Pollar
Membership

Members don't see this panel.

  • Supporter$29.99/yr
  • Founder$69.99/yr
Support Pollar

Live now

All live coverage
  • NATO leaders meet in Ankara

    Zelenskyy requests Patriot systems and missiles in Ankara speech, citing Russian ballistic missile advantages

  • Marine Le Pen appeal verdict

    Sentenced to 3 years in prison with 1 year of electronic monitoring, leaving her 2027 presidential candidacy uncertain before her TF1 interview tonight

  • Italy espionage arrests

    Involved four active-duty military personnel in sensitive positions, according to investigators, expanding the scope of the espionage case beyond the two arrested agents.

In the spotlight

All threads

World · Updated 3h ago

Important

The Middle East after Gaza

Iran's direct missile attack on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz directly challenges the fragile ceasefire with the US and escalates tensions in a critical chokepoint.

HomeBriefThreadsAsk
Categories
AI-generated·Learn how
Macro·2h ago

Spain's government approves record €226 billion spending ceiling for 2027, up 6.6%

The Spanish Council of Ministers approved a non-financial spending ceiling of €226.032 billion for 2027 on Tuesday, a 6.6% increase on last year's limit, along with a new fiscal path that aims to cut the public deficit to 1.3% by 2029.

A new spending high

The Council of Ministers on Tuesday gave the green light to a record non-financial spending ceiling of 226,032 million euros for the 2027 budget, an increase of 14,006 million euros, or 6.6%, over the limit set for 2025. That earlier ceiling never underpinned a full budget after the government chose not to present public accounts. The new cap was described by Finance Minister Arcadi España as the base for accounts that will be "ambitious in social terms and responsible in fiscal terms."

The public accounts we will present will include the largest resources in history for housing, scholarships, dependency, fight against gender violence or R&D, they will shield our welfare state, promote equal opportunities and guarantee quality public services with always universal vocation.

— Arcadi España

The approved ceiling marks the first formal step toward drafting the 2027 state budget, although the final bill still faces a difficult vote in parliament where the minority coalition lacks a guaranteed majority.

Deficit and debt targets

Alongside the spending cap, the government approved the stability programme for 2027–2029, setting a path to bring the overall public deficit down from a projected 1.8% of GDP in 2026 to 1.5% in 2027, 1.4% in 2028 and 1.3% in 2029. The central administration will shoulder most of the adjustment, with the deficit target for autonomous communities kept at just 0.1%, meaning no additional fiscal effort is demanded from the regions.

Deficit targets 2026–2029 (% of GDP) · %
2026
1.8 %
2027
1.5 %
2028
1.4 %
2029
1.3 %

Public debt is also set to decline: from 99.1% of GDP in 2026 to 97.6% in 2027, 96.4% in 2028 and 95.3% in 2029. A separate spending rule limits expenditure growth to 4% in 2027, 3.8% in 2028 and 3.6% in 2029.

The stability path sets the targets that will allow us to comply with fiscal rules. The deficit objective will be 1.8%, a reduction of three tenths. The Central Administration will bear the weight of this adjustment, setting 0.1% for the autonomous communities, which are therefore not required to make an additional fiscal effort.

— Arcadi España

Deliveries to local authorities will jump by around 8%, and town halls will receive the largest financing figure in their history, with increases close to 10%, Spain added. The offer to the regions includes 5,849 million euros earmarked for public services.

Support independent Pollar

Supporter and Founder memberships keep every article free to read, and add offline reading, audio, and a sponsor-free brief.

See membership tiers

Political friction and parliamentary outlook

The coalition partner Sumar pushed the Finance Ministry to raise the initial ceiling, extracting an extra 1,500 million euros beyond the first draft, according to sources cited by EL PAÍS. Both sides described the negotiations as "habitual" and cordial.

In the political arena, the government faces opposition from the Popular Party, which rejected the fiscal proposals at Monday's Fiscal and Financial Policy Council. Spain described the PP's stance as "irresponsible" and "disloyal to the institutions."

I ask the PP to reflect. It is not the time for partisanship and playing electoral games. We must vote for the interests of the country and not for the orders from Genova Street. I ask for a sense of State and common sense; no tactical manoeuvres.

— Arcadi España

The stability path, a prerequisite for drafting the budget, must now clear a challenging parliamentary vote where the executive does not, as yet, have sufficient support.

Madrid
Arcadi España
Juan Carlos I of Spain

4 sources

  • El Gobierno aprueba un techo de gasto récord de 226.032 millones, un 6,6% más que el año pasado
    20 minutos·4h ago
  • El Gobierno aprueba un techo de gasto récord para 2027 de 226.032 millones de euros
    LaSexta·4h ago
  • El Gobierno aprueba un nuevo techo de gasto récord, de 226.000 millones, un 6,6% más
    LaVanguardia·4h ago
  • El Gobierno eleva el techo de gasto hasta un récord de 226.032 millones para 2027
    EL PAÍS·4h ago

Get Pollar Weekly

The week in news, every Friday. Free.

Free. No ads. Unsubscribe anytime.

More from Politics & Economy
Conflicts·3h ago
© The New York Times

Iran fires missiles at commercial ships in Strait of Hormuz, testing fragile ceasefire with US

Iran's Revolutionary Guards fired at least two missiles at commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz on Monday night, damaging two ships but causing no casualties, according to US officials. The attack tests a fragile ceasefire between Washington and Tehran as President Trump threatens to 'finish the job' if no deal is reached.

Read article
Diplomacy·20m ago
© der Standard

Trump says US will lift Turkey sanctions and decide on F-35 sale at NATO summit in Ankara

At a NATO summit in Ankara, President Trump announced the lifting of sanctions on Turkey and said a decision on selling F-35 jets is forthcoming, reversing a policy he imposed in 2020.

Read article
Conflicts·from Jul 7·upd. 1h ago
© ANSA.it

Italy arrests two ex-intelligence officers for spying for Russia, four military personnel under investigation

Italian Carabinieri arrested two former intelligence officers in Rome on Tuesday for allegedly selling state secrets to a Russian agent with diplomatic cover. Four serving military personnel are among five others under investigation.

Read article