Poland sets final fuel price caps as CPN package expires: Pb95 at 6.00 zł on June 30, VAT hike looms
Energy minister Miłosz Motyka published the last daily maximum fuel prices under the CPN relief programme, effective June 30. From July 1, the reduced 8% VAT rate expires and price regulation ends, with analysts forecasting a rise at the pump.
Final day of regulated prices
On Tuesday, June 30, the maximum price for Pb95 petrol will be 6.00 zł per litre, down 0.02 zł from Monday's cap of 6.02 zł. Pb98 will cost no more than 6.68 zł (down 0.02 zł), while diesel rises by 0.02 zł to 6.19 zł per litre. These are the last daily limits set by Minister of Energy Miłosz Motyka before the CPN (Ceny Paliw Niżej) package expires.
How the CPN package worked
The government introduced the CPN programme in March 2026, combining a reduced VAT rate of 8% (instead of the standard 23%) with a temporary cut in excise duty and daily maximum price caps. The excise reduction ended on June 16, but the lower VAT and price ceilings were extended until June 30. The maximum price formula includes the average wholesale fuel price, excise, a fuel surcharge, a fixed retail margin of 0.30 zł per litre, and VAT. Selling above the cap carries a fine of up to 1 million zł, enforced by the National Revenue Administration (KAS).
- CPN package begins: reduced VAT (8%), excise cut, and daily maximum prices introduced. Initial caps: Pb95 6.16 zł/l, Pb98 6.76 zł/l, diesel 7.60 zł/l.
- Reduced excise duty expires; only lower VAT and price caps remain.
- Last day of reduced VAT and maximum prices. Caps: Pb95 6.00 zł/l, Pb98 6.68 zł/l, diesel 6.19 zł/l.
- VAT returns to 23%; maximum price regulation ends.
What changes on July 1
From Wednesday, July 1, the VAT rate on petrol, diesel and biocomponents reverts to 23%, and the ministry will stop publishing daily price limits. The Ministry of Finance confirmed last week that the excise reduction would not be extended. Analysts at Reflex note that the market has already absorbed the higher excise, but the VAT restoration will have a much larger impact on retail prices.
Analyst forecasts
Reflex projects that after the VAT hike, Pb95 will reach around 6.50 zł per litre, Pb98 about 7.35 zł, diesel 6.70 zł, and autogas 3.29 zł. Analysts at e-petrol.pl said the final days of the package would see stable prices, but the expiry of the caps will force an adjustment.
Forecast ranges indicate prices will remain at similar levels, without clear changes compared to recent days. However, later in the week the current protective package 'CPN' will expire, including maximum prices, which will translate into an adjustment of rates at fuel stations.
- Pb95
- 6.5 zł/l
- Pb98
- 7.35 zł/l
- Diesel
- 6.7 zł/l
- Autogas
- 3.29 zł/l
