Swedish exit polls project left opposition victory with 183 seats in 349-member Riksdag

Exit poll results and projected parliamentary majority

Exit poll findings published at 20:00 on Sunday, 13 September 2026, by public broadcaster SVT through its Valu survey and commercial television network TV4 project that Sweden's left-leaning opposition will secure a parliamentary majority. The polling data gives the opposition bloc 51.3% of the total vote, while the governing right-wing bloc secured 46.8%. This distribution translates to a projected 183 seats for the opposition parties in the 349-seat unicameral Riksdag, surpassing the 175 seats needed for a working majority. The incumbent center-right governing coalition and its parliamentary partner are projected to hold 166 seats in the new parliament. Broadcasters released these projections immediately after the voting stations closed across Sweden. Electoral authorities expect to deliver the first preliminary figures regarding official seat distributions at approximately 22:30 on Sunday evening.

Performance of left-leaning opposition parties

The opposition alliance is anchored by the Social Democratic Workers' Party, which finished in first place overall by winning 28.4% of the national vote. Three other political formations comprise the remainder of the left-leaning coalition, each securing representation in the Riksdag by clearing the parliamentary threshold. The Left Party emerged as the second-largest grouping on the left side of the political spectrum, capturing 8.0% of the vote. The Center Party followed with 7.5% support among voters, while the Green Party recorded 7.4% in the exit poll calculations. Together, these four political parties combine for the 51.3% vote share that underpins the 183-seat projected parliamentary majority.

Right-wing bloc and governing coalition results

The governing right-wing bloc concludes four years in national office under the leadership of Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson. Kristersson's Moderate Coalition Party placed second in the national election with 18.1% of the vote, remaining the largest individual party within the right-wing alliance. The far-right Sweden Democrats finished closely behind in third place overall, gathering 17.2% of the vote. During the previous four-year legislative term, the Sweden Democrats remained outside the formal governing cabinet while providing external legislative cooperation to Kristersson's administration. The remaining two members of the ruling tripartite cabinet, the Christian Democrats and the Liberals, joined the Moderates and Sweden Democrats to form the 46.8% total that translates to 166 projected seats in the Riksdag.

Leadership profiles and campaign priorities

Magdalena Andersson, who previously served as prime minister of Sweden from 2021 to 2022, serves as the prime ministerial candidate for the Social Democratic Workers' Party and the broader opposition bloc. Her nationwide campaign concentrated primarily on four core policy areas: supporting the Swedish welfare state, expanding funding for public healthcare, reforming the national education system, and addressing rising income inequalities. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson led the campaign for the Moderate Party and the right-wing bloc after four years leading the governing coalition. If the official election results confirm the exit poll projections, power in the 349-seat Riksdag will transfer to the left-leaning opposition alliance led by Andersson.