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Today’s Brief

Hormuz burns, Ankara counts

Iran rattles Hormuz as NATO wrangles over Ukraine and courts jolt populists

The past half-day delivered a grimly efficient tour of risk: missiles at sea, missiles over Ukraine, and leaders in Ankara trying to look useful. Courts in Paris and Westminster politics added their own chaos, while heat and storms turned large parts of China and Europe into emergency zones.

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World · Updated 5h ago

Important

The Middle East after Gaza

Iran's direct missile attack on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz directly challenges the fragile ceasefire with the US and escalates tensions in a critical chokepoint.

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AI-generated·Learn how
© El Confidencial
Elections·1h ago

Paris court clears Le Pen for 2027 presidential run but orders electronic bracelet

The Paris Court of Appeal reduced Marine Le Pen's ineligibility to 15 months, already served, opening the door to her candidacy in next year's presidential election. She must, however, campaign while under house arrest with an electronic bracelet.

The ruling

On Tuesday, the Paris Court of Appeal upheld Marine Le Pen's conviction for embezzling European Parliament funds but softened the ineligibility penalty that had blocked her from the 2027 presidential race. The court sentenced the National Rally leader to three years in prison, two suspended, and one year to be served at home with an electronic bracelet. It also imposed 45 months of ineligibility, of which 30 were suspended. The remaining 15 months were deemed already served since the original verdict on 31 March 2025, making her legally eligible to run.

The execution of this penalty (of ineligibility) since 31 March 2025 has already repaired the breach of probity.

— Michèle Agi

The presiding judge called the embezzlement "especially serious facts" given the sums involved and the duration of the scheme, which ran from 2004 to 2016. Le Pen was also fined 100,000 euros.

Political implications

The ruling reshapes the French electoral landscape. The presidential election is scheduled for 18 April and 2 May 2027. Le Pen had been barred from office until 2030 under the first-instance verdict, but the appeal decision now clears her path. However, she has repeatedly said she would not run if forced to wear an electronic bracelet.

I will not run. When you are a candidate for the presidency you must have total freedom of movement, and that is not the case if you wear an electronic bracelet.

— Marine Le Pen

If she steps aside, the party's candidate would likely be Jordan Bardella, the 30-year-old president of National Rally since 2022 and Le Pen's protégé. Le Pen is expected to announce her decision during a prime-time interview on TF1 this evening.

From conviction to potential candidacy
  1. Mar 31, 2025First instance conviction: 5 years ineligibility, 4 years prison (2 firm with bracelet)
  2. Jul 7, 2026Appeal ruling: ineligibility reduced to 15 months effective, 3 years prison (1 firm with bracelet)
  3. Jul 7, 08:00 PMLe Pen expected to announce candidacy decision on TF1
  4. Apr 18, 2027First round of presidential election
  5. May 2, 2027Second round of presidential election

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Financial penalties

The court ordered Le Pen and ten other defendants to repay more than $2 million to the European Parliament for the misused contracts, plus $171,000 in damages and legal costs. Individual fines were also imposed, including nearly $115,000 for Le Pen. The National Rally party itself was fined 2 million euros, half of it suspended. The total damage to the EU was estimated at around 3 million euros.

Macron's response

President Emmanuel Macron, on an official visit to Syria before travelling to a NATO summit in Ankara, declined to comment on the verdict.

What is truly healthy for democracy is that the president does not comment on judicial decisions.

— Emmanuel Macron

What's next

Le Pen has ten days to appeal to the Court of Cassation, though she has previously indicated she would not do so. An appeal would be suspensive and could risk her being sidelined just before the first round. The mayor of Perpignan, Louis Aliot, a party vice-president and Le Pen's former partner, received a one-year suspended prison sentence and a two-year suspended ineligibility term, allowing him to keep his mayoralty.

Paris
Marine Le PenEmmanuel MacronJordan BardellaLouis AliotMichèle Agi
ParisEmmanuel MacronAnkara

8 sources

  • Macron rechaza pronunciarse sobre el fallo de Le Pen: "Lo...
    europa press·1h ago
  • Un tribunal en Francia de luz a Marine Le Pen para presentarse a las elecciones presidenciales pero le ordena a usar un brazalete electrónico
    BBC·2h ago
  • Condena de Marine Le Pen: lo que hay que retener
    France 24·3h ago
  • Francia: Le Pen podrá postularse a las presidenciales, pero portando brazalete electrónico
    RFI·4h ago
  • La Justícia de França condemna a tres anys de presó i 15 mesos...
    europa press·4h ago
  • La Justicia de Francia condena a tres años de prisión y 15 meses de...
    europa press·4h ago
  • El tribunal de apelación confirma la sentencia de Le Pen, pero abre la puerta a que se presente a las elecciones de 2027
    El Confidencial·4h ago
  • Le Pen es condenada, pero no queda claro si será candidata al Elíseo
    LaVanguardia·4h ago

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