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Today’s Brief

Khamenei buried, Almería burns

Iran reopens war nerves as Spanish fires kill tourists and Europe's heat hardens

The past 12 hours brought a grim mix of war risk, climate stress and institutional strain. Iran buried Ali Khamenei as US-Iran exchanges resumed, Spain counted the dead from a fast-moving wildfire, and Europe’s heat plans moved from warning labels to emergency operations.

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World · Updated 39m ago

The war in Ukraine and its limits

New diplomatic efforts by US President Trump to initiate immediate ceasefire talks, including a proposed limited ceasefire on energy and infrastructure targets, were reported.

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© POLITICO
Conflicts·1h ago

Trump agrees to more Iran talks but says ceasefire 'over', demands Strait of Hormuz statement by Saturday

US President Donald Trump declared the June 17 ceasefire with Iran ended yet agreed to continue negotiations, while Washington gave Tehran a Saturday deadline to publicly commit to keeping the Strait of Hormuz open and free of attacks on commercial shipping.

Ceasefire collapses as both sides trade fire

The memorandum of understanding signed on June 17 by Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian called for an immediate end to hostilities, the lifting of the US naval blockade on Iran, and the opening of the Strait of Hormuz. Within 60 days it was meant to tackle Iran's nuclear programme, unfreeze Iranian assets and determine the strait's future administration. But the text was loosely worded, and competing interpretations have now derailed it.

It is so vague that everyone interpreted it differently. Now it is a negotiation under fire, with both sides trying to pressure the other.

— Yoel Guzansky

In late June, the two countries exchanged strikes after Trump accused Iran of launching drones at container ships. This week fighting escalated sharply.

Escalation timeline
  1. Jun 17, 2026US and Iran sign ceasefire MOU, agree to stop fighting and open Strait of Hormuz
  2. Jun 28, 2026US and Iran exchange strikes after Trump accuses Tehran of drone attacks on container ships
  3. Jul 7, 2026Iran attacks two commercial vessels in Strait of Hormuz
  4. 2026-07-08 to 2026-07-09US bombs about 170 targets in Iran; Iran retaliates on US assets across the region
  5. Jul 10, 2026Trump declares ceasefire over on Truth Social but agrees to more talks; US demands Iranian Strait statement by Saturday

Iran attacks ships, US answers with 170 targets

Iranian forces attacked two commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz this week, triggering a forceful American response. Since Tuesday the US has struck about 170 targets in Iran, according to US Central Command, hitting key port cities and a railway in the north. Iran retaliated by targeting US assets across the region. The exchanges are the most severe threat to the MOU since it was signed.

Trump, enraged by the ship attacks, told reporters at the NATO summit in Turkey that he was weighing taking over Iran's Kharg Island and questioned whether a lasting deal could be reached. On Wednesday he called Iran's leadership "scum".

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Trump agrees to talks but demands a Strait statement

In a Truth Social post on Friday, Trump wrote that Iran "has asked us to continue 'talks.' We have agreed to do so, but the United States has stated to them, in no uncertain terms, that the Cease Fire is OVER!" Hours later, senior US officials disclosed that the continuation of diplomacy hinges on a public Iranian pledge. The administration is "demanding" a statement from Tehran that the Strait of Hormuz is open, that no tolls will be imposed and that attacks on commercial ships will stop. Washington has given Iran until Saturday to voice that position in a meeting with Omani officials.

If it's not their position, then it's not going to be a great day for them.

— senior US official

Iran did not immediately confirm that it had asked for talks. The two sides have offered divergent accounts throughout the conflict that began on February 28.

Mediation efforts and Hormuz leverage

Qatari officials visited Iran on Friday in an effort to de-escalate tensions and create conditions for broader negotiations, possibly in Qatar or Pakistan. Meanwhile, analysts note that the Strait of Hormuz has become Iran's chief lever, its disruption sending oil prices higher and rattling global supply chains.

Trump talks loudly and has a big stick, but he doesn't have an appetite for a long regional war.

— Yoel Guzansky

Guzansky added that Iran's new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, needs to demonstrate strength domestically and is less willing to compromise. No direct talks between Washington and Tehran have taken place since last month, and it remains unclear whether the new round of discussions will aim to restore the ceasefire or simply address the strait impasse.

Washington D.C. · Tehran · Muscat · Strait of Hormuz
Donald TrumpMasoud PezeshkianMojtaba KhameneiYoel Guzansky
Donald TrumpWashington, D.C.United States

7 sources

  • Trump agrees to more Iran talks but says truce is 'over'
    Le Monde.fr·1h ago
  • Trump demands 'public statement' from Iran in ongoing negotiations
    POLITICO·3h ago
  • Trump says US has 'agreed' to continue Iran talks but ceasefire 'over'
    Al Jazeera Online·8h ago
  • Trump says U.S. and Iran will keep talking but declares ceasefire 'OVER!'
    Washington Post·9h ago
  • Iran and US to continue talks, but ceasefire is 'OVER,' Trump says
    POLITICO·10h ago
  • Trump dit accepter de parler avec l'Iran mais que le cessez-le-feu est " terminé "
    Mediapart·10h ago
  • Trump Says Iran Ceasefire Over But Talks on Deal to Continue
    Bloomberg Business·10h ago

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