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Hormuz tolls and Spanish ashes

Trump escalates in Hormuz as Europe hardens defences and heat exposes brittle systems

The Gulf moved from danger to outright economic coercion, with American strikes, Iranian retaliation claims and a proposed fee on the world's most sensitive oil lane. Europe, meanwhile, answered insecurity with missile plans, cyber protests and more rules for technology at home.

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World · Updated 38m ago

The US under Trump: second term

The Trump administration proposed new double-digit tariffs on imports from the EU and other major trading partners, signaling an expansion of its transactional trade policy.

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© Deutsche Welle
Conflicts·1h ago

First 'coalition of the willing' exercises to take place in Poland this autumn as Tusk warns of prolonged war

The first joint exercises of the 'coalition of the willing' will be held in Poland this autumn, as Warsaw also declares it is ready to host a permanent presence of allied forces.

Autumn exercises in Poland

After a summit of roughly 25 to 35 countries in Paris, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk confirmed that the first joint military exercises of the 'coalition of the willing' supporting Ukraine will take place on Polish soil in the autumn of 2026. Tusk stated the drills will involve French and British troops predominantly, with Poland acting as both host and participant.

The exercises are meant to prepare the entire coalition gathered today in Paris for real security guarantees for Ukraine, but also for the region.

— Donald Tusk

French President Emmanuel Macron had previewed the plan a day earlier, on 13 July 2026, framing it as a demonstration of readiness 'on land, in the air and at sea.' The coalition aims to establish a multi-national European-led force, backed by the United States, to help secure Ukraine after the war with Russia ends.

Preparing for a permanent allied footprint

In Warsaw the same day, Deputy Prime Minister and Defence Minister Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz declared Poland's readiness for a permanent stationing of allied forces, naming French and British troops as specific examples. He linked the commitment directly to Poland's growing responsibility for NATO's eastern flank.

We already have an allied presence today and we are ready for a permanent presence of, for example, French or British troops.

— Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz

Kosiniak-Kamysz noted that allied soldiers from the UK, Croatia, Romania, the United States, and Norway are already stationed in Poland. Tusk separately informed leaders that Poland will prepare logistical and financial conditions not just for American forces, but for other European allies as well. The country currently hosts an estimated 8,000 to 10,000 US troops on a rotational basis and continues to pursue their permanent deployment.

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A new anti-ballistic defence coalition

On 13 July, nine European countries, France, Germany, Italy, Denmark, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, and the United Kingdom, signed a joint declaration with Ukraine to pool industrial potential, scientific research, and operational experience for anti-ballistic missile defence. Poland was not among the initial signatories. Asked about the omission, Tusk explained the coalition is industry-driven and that Polish defence firms are currently analysing their capacity.

If a ready industrial offer comes from Polish companies, we will join this coalition.

— Donald Tusk

The prime minister also confirmed that Poland does not currently plan to donate Patriot missiles to Ukraine, though he emphasised his personal opposition to what he called 'anti-Ukrainian bidding' in domestic politics.

The road to the first coalition exercises
  1. 13 July 2026President Macron first mentions planned joint exercises in Paris
  2. 14 July 2026Prime Minister Tusk confirms exercises will be held in Poland in the autumn
  3. Defence Minister Kosiniak-Kamysz states Poland is ready for permanent allied troop presence
  4. Autumn 2026First coalition military exercises take place in Poland

Diplomatic pessimism on a ceasefire

Speaking to reporters in Paris, Tusk relayed a sober assessment of the conflict's trajectory. After 'quite detailed' talks with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte and a longer exchange with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, he said a near-term ceasefire or peace deal appears unlikely because of what he described as Russia's completely rigid stance.

At this moment it seems improbable that in the nearest future, in some short perspective, a ceasefire or peace agreement will be reached, due to the absolutely rigid position of Russia and Vladimir Putin.

— Donald Tusk

Everyone expects an escalation of Russian actions right now, Tusk added, and it is 'quite probable' that Moscow will try to prolong the war at least until winter. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz used the Paris gathering to renew a call for Vladimir Putin to negotiate, stating Ukraine and European partners are open to peace talks supported by Europe and the United States. Tusk emphasised that Poland is preparing 'in every possible dimension', border protection, a drone coalition, joint exercises, and US declarations on presence, to ensure any escalation does not reach Polish territory.

Political tensions over Ukraine support

Tusk also addressed domestic pushback against aid to Ukraine, sharply criticising a proposal from Law and Justice politician Przemysław Czarnek that the EU should halt funding for Ukraine's armament and reconstruction. The prime minister called the idea 'murderous politics' and a dangerous auction of anti-Ukrainian sentiment.

As long as I am prime minister, Poland will actively participate, within its capabilities and without violating our security, in helping Ukraine in the war with Russia.

— Donald Tusk

He also condemned an attack on a teenage Ukrainian girl on a bus in Bielsko-Biała, calling it a disgusting incident that should never have occurred, and credited the former Polish government's immediate aid to Ukraine after the full-scale invasion as the one decision he fully endorses.

Paris · Warsaw
Donald TuskEmmanuel MacronWładysław Kosiniak-KamyszFriedrich MerzVladimir PutinVolodymyr ZelenskyyMark Rutte
Vladimir PutinDonald Tusk

8 sources

  • Pierwsze manewry koalicji chętnych. Polska gospodarzem
    Deutsche Welle·2h ago
  • Szef MON: Polska gotowa na stałą obecność wojsk sojuszniczych
    Polska Agencja Prasowa SA·2h ago
  • Wspólne ćwiczenia wojskowe w Polsce. Tusk potwierdza i wskazuje ich cel
    wiadomosci.radiozet.pl·2h ago
  • Polska chce więcej obcych wojsk na swoim terytorium. Minister obrony mówi, że "jesteśmy gotowi
    Rzeczpospolita·2h ago
  • "Jest to dość prawdopodobne". Tusk zabrał głos ws. zamiarów Rosji
    wiadomosci.radiozet.pl·4h ago
  • Premier: jeśli będzie gotowa oferta przemysłowa ze strony polskich firm, to przystąpimy do koalicji obrony antybalistycznej
    Polska Agencja Prasowa SA·5h ago
  • Tusk: jest dość prawdopodobne, że Rosja będzie chciała wojnę przedłużać przynajmniej do zimy
    wnp.pl·5h ago
  • "Odbędą się jesienią". Premier Tusk o specjalnych ćwiczeniach wojskowych w Polsce
    rmf24.pl·5h ago

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