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Listen to the article4 min, read by a synthetic voice

In brief

  • Revenue reached $14.58 billion against an S&P Capital IQ expectation of $13 billion, and net profit hit $4.4 billion versus a $2.12 billion consensus.

  • AI revenue of $7.56 billion came mainly from leasing computing capacity to Anthropic, Google and Reflection AI, while the unit keeps posting large operating losses.

  • Capital expenditure was $19.59 billion in the third quarter against $6.88 billion a year earlier, and Melissa Otto of Visible Alpha Research projects $194.3 billion in 2028.

  • The stock sat roughly 9% below its IPO level as of Monday's close and gained 2% in after-hours trading on Tuesday, 20 October.

How it came to this
  1. June 2026SpaceX goes public in an IPO
  2. 19 OctMusk pledges SpaceX shares for American children
  3. 20 OctQ3 2026 results reported
  4. 21 OctTesla earnings report due

Revenue and profit beat forecasts

SpaceX reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of $14.58 billion, roughly $9 billion more than in the same quarter of 2025. That figure cleared the $13 billion expected by S&P Capital IQ, and LSEG figures put the analyst consensus at $12.72 billion. The company moved from a net loss of $1.05 billion a year earlier to a net profit of $4.4 billion for the quarter ended in September, more than double the $2.12 billion analysts had expected. The company said revenue grew 161% year over year, driven by its artificial intelligence business and its Starlink satellite internet service. With a market capitalization of about $2 trillion, the group spans rockets, satellite connectivity and AI under Elon Musk.

Segment results

The AI segment, which covers the Grok chatbot, the X platform and data center capacity, produced $7.56 billion in revenue. Sources differ on the year-earlier comparison: one set of figures has it nearly tripling, while another puts the increase at 830%. Connectivity, which includes Starlink, brought in $5.25 billion, and the company reported 13.6 million Starlink consumer subscribers. Space revenue reached $1.77 billion, up six percent, although that division posted a $7 million operating loss. Connectivity generated $2.4 billion from operations and the AI unit $431 million on the same measure.

SpaceX Q3 2026 revenue by segment$ billion
AI7.56
Connectivity5.25
Space1.77
AI
7.56 $ billion
Connectivity
5.25 $ billion
Space
1.77 $ billion

Data from the article text

Most AI revenue came from renting computing capacity to companies including Anthropic, Google and Reflection AI, rather than from selling proprietary models. That segment also absorbs most of the group's investment and continues to post large operating losses. The company has warned that sustained spending will be needed before the business produces steady profits.

Spending and investor reaction

Capital expenditure reached $19.59 billion in the quarter, compared with $6.88 billion a year before.

SpaceX capital expenditure, Q3 2025 vs Q3 2026$ billion
Q3 20256.88
Q3 202619.59
Q3 2025
6.88 $ billion
Q3 2026
19.59 $ billion

Data from the article text

Melissa Otto, who heads Visible Alpha Research within S&P Global, expects spending to climb from $69.9 billion in 2026 to $194.3 billion by 2028.

Projected SpaceX capex per Visible Alpha Research$ billion
202669.9
2028194.3
2026
69.9 $ billion
2028
194.3 $ billion

Data from the article text

A Gartner estimate put the share of AI infrastructure outlays that could face write-downs by the end of 2030 at more than $3.5 trillion. The stock sat roughly 9% below its IPO level as of Monday's close, then gained 2% in after-hours trading on Tuesday, 20 October. Otto wrote before the results came out:

“The weakness has been partially driven by concerns about overgrowth around AI and data centers.”

Melissa Otto

Musk's wider footprint

SpaceX has been public since its June IPO, and Musk has steadily made the rocket company the center of his business empire. Musk has also weighed in on the war in Ukraine, the setting in which SpaceX restricted its satellite internet service in that country. He has poured hundreds of millions of dollars, partly drawn from his SpaceX fortune, into funding groups aligned with Republicans ahead of the midterms. On Monday, 19 October, he promised one SpaceX share to every American child next year through a federally run savings-account program that Donald Trump backs.

What comes next

An investor call led by Musk was set for 4:30pm on the day of the report. This is the second earnings report since the June listing. The third quarter included the closing of a $60 billion deal to buy the AI coding tool Cursor, the 13th launch of Starship, and the rollout of a new V5 Starlink residential dish. On the second-quarter call, president Gwynne Shotwell described plans to build a terrestrial mobile network to compete with T-Mobile, AT&T and Verizon. Tesla, which Musk also runs as chief executive, reports on Wednesday, 21 October.

Next in today’s edition

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Sources and context

  • Axios2 h agoSpaceX earnings soar past expectations
  • The New York Times2 h agoSpaceX Swings to a Profit, Even as A.I. Spending Soars
  • The Verge2 h agoSpaceX says big AI growth fueled revenue jump
  • Bloomberg Business2 h agoSpaceX Profit Beats Estimates on Big Jump in AI Business Revenue
Elon Musk
SpaceX CEO whose companies include Tesla and SpaceX
Gwynne Shotwell
SpaceX president who described mobile network plans on the Q2 earnings call
Donald Trump
US president who championed the government-operated savings account program Musk referenced

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Published today at 21:45.

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Text generated by AI from the reports of the publishers listed and checked automatically, with no human editor. How Pollar is made

In this text

  1. 1Revenue and profit beat forecastsRevenue and profit beat forecasts
  2. 2Segment resultsSegment results
  3. 3Spending and investor reactionSpending and investor reaction
  4. 4Musk's wider footprintMusk's wider footprint
  5. 5What comes nextWhat comes next

Based on reports by

Axios, The New York Times, The Verge, Bloomberg Business, Il Sole 24 ORE, ΣΚΑΪ

List of sources

Business

SpaceX posts $4.4 billion profit as AI and Starlink revenue beat forecasts

SpaceX reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of $14.58 billion, up 161% year over year, and a $4.4 billion profit after a year-earlier net loss of $1.05 billion.

Ask about this text

AI text based on reports by Axios, The New York Times, The Verge and other publishers. Published today at 21:45.

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