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Today’s Brief

Hormuz burns, Ankara fumes

Trump escalates Gulf war as NATO allies absorb oil shock and insults

War, weather and courts set the pace today. The Gulf crisis widened, Europe sweated through another dangerous heatwave, and French politics gained a campaign that may be decided as much by judges as voters.

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European Union · Updated 1h ago

Brussels vs capitals: EU integration

The Court of Justice ruling reinforces an existing EU disciplinary mechanism but does not activate new powers or override a national veto.

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© POLITICO
Energy & Trade·2h ago

Russia bans diesel exports after Ukrainian drone strikes fuel shortages

Moscow halted diesel exports until the end of July to stabilize domestic supplies after drone attacks on refineries, sending global prices sharply higher.

The announcement

On Wednesday, the Russian government imposed a ban on diesel fuel exports, effective immediately until July 31. Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak announced the measure at a meeting chaired by President Vladimir Putin.

today introduced a ban on diesel fuel exports to increase supplies to the domestic market.

— Alexander Novak
The ban aims to boost domestic supply following widespread shortages triggered by Ukrainian attacks on refineries. Exports under international intergovernmental agreements are exempt from the restrictions.

Drone campaign hits refineries

Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure have intensified in recent months, hitting oil depots and refineries across the country. According to media reports and local officials, more than 90 percent of Russia's regions have experienced fuel rationing or outright shortages. The attacks have caused large fires and disrupted processing capacity, tightening the domestic diesel market. Russia now plans to import petroleum products in July and use lower-environmental-grade fuels to expand production.

Key events leading to and following the ban
  1. Drone attacks intensifyUkrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries increase in recent months, causing fuel shortages.
  2. Export ban announcedRussia imposes ban on diesel exports on July 8, 2026, effective immediately.
  3. Price jumpDiesel futures rise 12% in New York and 13% in Europe on July 8.
  4. Ban expiresExport ban set to expire on July 31, 2026.

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Market response

The ban sent diesel prices surging on international markets. New York diesel futures rose by 12 percent, while European gasoil futures closed 13 percent higher on Wednesday. The price reaction reflects the importance of Russian diesel supplies, particularly for Europe, where farmers, haulers and consumers are likely to face higher costs. The Kremlin's decision was widely expected, given the depth of the domestic crisis.

Diesel price surge on July 8, 2026 · %
New York diesel futures
12
European gasoil futures
13
New York diesel futures
12 %
European gasoil futures
13 %

What this means for Europe

Russia is a major exporter of diesel, and the temporary halt is expected to ripple through European energy markets. While the ban is short-term, it compounds existing supply uncertainties from the war. Putin dismissed the economic impact, stating that the country's energy network has a "very high" safety reserve.

the security reserve of the Russian energy network is very high

— Vladimir Putin
He accused Ukraine of trying to harm the Russian economy and create "nervousness in society," but insisted the effort would fail.

Moscow
Alexander NovakVladimir Putin
New York CityVladimir Putin

3 sources

  • Diesel Futures Surge After Russia Bans Exports
    The Wall Street Journal·22h ago
  • Russia halts diesel exports after Ukraine strikes refineries
    POLITICO·22h ago
  • Dient der "Stabilisierung" des Marktes: Treibstoffknappheit: Russland verhängt Exportverbot für Diesel
    N-tv·23h ago

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