President Nawrocki's approval hits record 56% as parliament ratings slip

Record approval for President Nawrocki

A new poll by the state-run Centre for Public Opinion Research (CBOS) shows that 56% of Poles approve of President Karol Nawrocki's job performance, the highest rating since he took office. The survey, conducted from 2 to 12 July 2026 on a sample of 938 respondents, found a 5-percentage-point increase from June and a 10-point jump since May. In May, his approval stood at 46%, meaning he has gained 10 points over two months. Negative assessments fell to 37%, down 2 points, while the share of undecided respondents shrank to 7%, a drop of 3 points. The net approval margin now stands at 19 percentage points, also a record for his presidency.

This is the second consecutive month in which the changes exceed the typical monthly fluctuations in presidential ratings, which indicates a strengthening of social support for his activities.

Who supports the president?

The demographic breakdown reveals a clear political and social divide. Nawrocki draws his strongest backing from young men, voters of the Law and Justice (PiS) party and both Confederation groupings, people who identify as right-wing, rural residents, and respondents with lower incomes. Negative opinions dominate among supporters of Civic Coalition (KO) and the New Left, those who voted for Rafał Trzaskowski in the second round of the presidential election, residents of larger cities, and the highest earners.

Parliament ratings slip

While the president's numbers climbed, both chambers of parliament lost ground. Approval of the Sejm, the lower house, fell to 27%, a decline of 3 percentage points from June. Disapproval rose to 58%, up 3 points, the highest disapproval among the three institutions surveyed. 15% had no opinion. CBOS noted that these changes are small and fall within the margin of statistical error. Positive views of the Sejm are more common among KO and New Left supporters, left-leaning identifiers, big-city dwellers, the highly educated, and the well-off. Criticism is concentrated among PiS and Confederation voters, including supporters of Grzegorz Braun's Confederation of the Polish Crown, typically respondents aged 25–34 with basic vocational education and lower incomes.

The Senate fared slightly better but also saw a dip. Positive ratings dropped to 31%, down 2 points, while negative ratings edged up to 43%, a 2-point increase. The undecided share was 26%, down 1 point. Again, CBOS characterised the shifts as minor and within the error margin.

Trust rankings reinforce lead

A separate CBOS trust survey, published earlier, placed Nawrocki firmly at the top of the political trust ranking. The president is trusted by 53% of respondents, with distrust at 33% and indifference at 9%. Compared with June, his trust level rose by 2 percentage points. Deputy Prime Minister and Defence Minister Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz ranked second with 41% trust, 32% distrust, and 16% indifference. Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski also scored 41% trust, but with a lower distrust figure of 26% and 12% indifference.

The July fieldwork used a mixed-mode design: 65.5% CAPI (face-to-face), 16.6% CATI (telephone), and 17.9% CAWI (online self-completion).