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Today’s Brief

Macron's social-media ban falls

Trump strains Hormuz as borders harden, reactors idle and consumers pull back

The past half-day brought a familiar mix of hard power and soft underbellies. Donald Trump talked up control of the Strait of Hormuz, Europe wrestled with heat-stressed infrastructure and borders, and American consumers showed less appetite for spending.

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  • Wildfire in Belgium Hautes Fagnes

    Evacuate the hamlet of Sourbrodt as the wildfire, now the worst in Belgian history, shifts unpredictably and threatens local residents.

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Other · Updated 16m ago

AI: capabilities, regulation, labour

The reporting on German firms' wage expectations due to AI adoption provides a new dimension to the labor market discussion, shifting focus from job losses to earnings quality.

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© Der Tagesspiegel
Health & Education·Jul 1

Germany's birth rate falls to 1.32, lowest level since 1997

The combined birth rate fell 2.7% from 2024 to 1.32 children per woman, the Federal Statistical Office reported. Total births in 2025 dropped to 654,241, the lowest post-war figure.

National fertility at 30-year low

The Federal Statistical Office reported that the combined fertility rate dropped to 1.32 children per woman in 2025, the lowest since 1997. That is a 2.7% decline from the 2024 rate of 1.35. The number of births fell to 654,241, a post-war low. The rate has been falling continuously since 2022. In the mid-1990s, the rate reached a trough of 1.24.

East-West divide persists

Eastern states (excluding Berlin) recorded 1.22 children per woman, compared to 1.34 in the west. Saxony had the lowest rate at 1.16, while Niedersachsen led with 1.38. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern saw the sharpest annual decline, down 6.3%.

Birth rate by federal state, 2025 · children per woman
Sachsen
1.16
Berlin
1.19
Thüringen
1.2
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
1.21
Brandenburg
1.3
Nordrhein-Westfalen
1.34
Niedersachsen
1.38
Sachsen
1.16 children per woman
Berlin
1.19 children per woman
Thüringen
1.2 children per woman
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
1.21 children per woman
Brandenburg
1.3 children per woman
Nordrhein-Westfalen
1.34 children per woman
Niedersachsen
1.38 children per woman

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Foreign-born women also having fewer children

The rate among women with foreign citizenship was 1.78, down 3.3% from 2024. It has been declining since 2017 (except 2021). German women's rate fell to 1.20, a level not seen since 1996.

Expert: multiple crises delay family formation

Martin Bujard of the Federal Institute for Population Research attributes the decline to ongoing crises.

Wars, economic problems and the climate crisis lead people to postpone family planning.

— Martin Bujard

Call for policy and narrative shift

Bujard warned that the effects will hit the labour market in about 20 years, when a generation one-third smaller enters. He urged action on housing and childcare.

We need a future-optimistic narrative. We must get out of the crisis narrative, because we still live in a fairly prosperous society.

— Martin Bujard
Parents are also older: mothers averaged 31.9 years and fathers 34.8 in 2025, up about 4 years since 1991.

Wiesbaden
Martin Bujard
WiesbadenBonn

8 sources

  • Warum die Geburtenrate in Deutschland sinkt
    DIE WELT·Jul 1
  • Gesellschaft: Warum die Geburtenrate in Deutschland sinkt
    Der Tagesspiegel·Jul 1
  • Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: MV deutschlandweit mit stärkstem Rückgang der Geburtenrate
    N-tv·Jul 1
  • Niedrigster Stand der Geburtenrate in NRW seit 30 Jahren
    DIE WELT·Jul 1
  • Gesellschaft: Niedrigster Stand der Geburtenrate in NRW seit 30 Jahren
    ZEIT ONLINE·Jul 1
  • Sachsen: Sachsen verzeichnet niedrigste Geburtenrate Deutschlands
    N-tv·Jul 1
  • Statistisches Bundesamt: So wenig Geburten wie zuletzt 1997
    tagesschau.de·Jul 1
  • Demografie: Geburtenrate in Deutschland fällt auf tiefsten Stand seit 1997
    DIE WELT·Jul 1

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