The software and finance sectors are grappling with a wave of selling triggered by a viral report from Citrini Research, predicting a "Global Intelligence Crisis" in 2028. The document, though described by its authors as a fictional scenario, has hit the valuations of giants like Workday, GoDaddy, and Blackstone. Investors fear that artificial intelligence will lead to mass layoffs among office workers and the destruction of traditional subscription-based business models.

Panic Triggered by Fictional Report

The Citrini Research document on the 2028 crisis went viral, causing real stock market declines despite disclaimers about its speculative nature.

Software Sector Under Pressure

Companies like Workday and GoDaddy are seeing stock declines following lowered revenue forecasts and investor concerns about their margins in the AI era.

Rising Credit Risk

UBS warns of a wave of defaults in the private debt sector if artificial intelligence destabilizes previously stable business models too quickly.

Optimists Fight Back

Some experts and companies (Thomson Reuters, Anthropic) point to real AI benefits that could lower inflation and increase economic efficiency.

Financial markets reacted violently to the publication of the analysis "The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis" by niche firm Citrini Research. The report painted a dystopian vision of the future where the rapid development of agentic AI leads to ten percent unemployment in the USA, a collapse of the real estate market, and a drastic drop in consumption. Articles indicate that fear of human technological redundancy hit enterprise software providers (SaaS) the hardest, whose stocks lost an average of 20 percent of their value over the last month. The biggest market players, including bank JP Morgan, warn of a bubble burst, comparing the current instability to the 2008 crisis. UBS analysts revised their forecasts for private credit, predicting that in the worst-case scenario, the default rate could rise to 15 percent due to disruptions caused by artificial intelligence. In response to these sentiments, funds like SLR Investment Corp. have begun promoting themselves as "safe havens," emphasizing minimal capital exposure to the software sector. Market patterns show that every technological revolution—from the steam engine to the internet—initially sparked fear of mass unemployment, but typically led to the creation of new jobs and increased productivity. Despite widespread pessimism, some companies report successes in adapting the new technology. Thomson Reuters saw its stock rise 11 percent after announcing that its AI assistant, CoCounsel, gained one million users. Meanwhile, Anthropic, the startup at the center of the turmoil, announced partnerships with traditional giants, suggesting a model of collaboration rather than total elimination of existing players. CEOs of companies like Workday emphasize that their systems are key operational foundations that cannot be easily replaced by AI code alone. „History shows that successive waves of technological change have not produced runaway exponential growth, nor have they rendered labor obsolete.” — Frank Flight Currently, the market is dominated by polarization: while capital is fleeing from office application providers, record growth is being seen by semiconductor manufacturers in Taiwan and South Korea. Investors are treating computer hardware as a safer investment, essential for building AI infrastructure, regardless of which software model ultimately wins the market battle.

Mentioned People

  • Alap Shah — Founder of Citrini Research, author of the controversial AI crisis report.
  • Aneel Bhusri — CEO of Workday, defending the company's position against AI threats.
  • Jamie Dimon — CEO of JPMorgan Chase, warning of a speculative bubble.