ANM forecasts slightly cooler early November and below-normal rain in Carpathian regions

Four-week outlook

The National Meteorological Administration (ANM) issued its four-week forecast on Friday, 23 October 2026, covering the period from 26 October to 23 November. Temperatures are expected to stay close to seasonal averages in the last week of October, then dip slightly below normal across the country in the first half of November. By the week of 16 to 23 November, average temperatures are forecast to return to levels typical for the season. Forecasters say conditions will vary from day to day and from region to region, but will generally remain within normal limits.

Late October and early November

For the week of 26 October to 2 November, temperatures are forecast to sit near the usual values for the period across all of Romania. Rainfall is expected to fall below normal in the intracarpathian regions, particularly the western Carpathians and the northern part of the eastern Carpathians. Elsewhere in the country, precipitation should be close to its usual level. From 2 November, the cooling becomes nationwide, with average temperatures for the week of 2 to 9 November forecast slightly below normal. Rainfall for that week is expected to stay close to normal in all regions.

Mid-November and the closing week

The week of 9 to 16 November is expected to remain slightly cooler than normal across the country. Rainfall for that week should be around typical values, with no significant national deviations estimated. The temperature dip is therefore forecast to run from 2 to 16 November across the whole territory. For the week of 16 to 23 November, temperature averages are forecast to return to levels close to those typical for the period. Rainfall in the final week of the outlook is also expected to be near normal in every region.

Rivers and dry spells

Because rainfall is running short in parts of the country, water levels in the main rivers are expected to stay below their usual levels for this time of year. The shortfall is concentrated in the intracarpathian area, which the forecast identifies as the main zone of below-normal rainfall. Outside those regions, rainfall is forecast to be close to normal. The forecast therefore links the expected river shortfall to the deficit in the Carpathian areas rather than to a nationwide dry spell.

Wind and rain notice

Separately, ANM issued an information notice on Thursday, 22 October, warning of rain and strengthening winds until Friday evening, 23 October. Wind was expected to be temporarily stronger in the Bărăgan plain, southern Moldova and southern Oltenia. Rain was expected mainly in the eastern half of the country, with totals in some areas exceeding 30 litres per square metre. Temperatures were also forecast to drop, particularly in the south, centre and east of the country. Gusts were generally expected at 40 to 50 km/h, and above 70 km/h on mountain ridges.