The beginning of March 2026 brings sudden weather changes to Poland, caused by the influence of the Iackl high-pressure system and an approaching heat wave. While thermometers in central Poland show up to 16 degrees Celsius, residents of Pomerania are dealing with the effects of sudden thaws. Uniformed services and employees of Wody Polskie (Polish Waters) are conducting intensive operations to secure flood embankments and pump water out of flooded properties.
Record temperatures in March
Thermometers in Poland may show up to 16 degrees Celsius, heralding the arrival of an unprecedented heat wave.
Flood threat
Intense thaws in Pomerania forced interventions by Wody Polskie (Polish Waters) and the securing of flood embankments.
Winter 2025/2026 anomalies
Scientific reports confirm a record-warm December and the driest January of the current century.
At the beginning of March 2026, Poland is under the influence of a stable yet contrasting high-pressure system named Iackl. Forecasters are warning of an approaching "heat strike" that will push temperatures to levels rarely seen at this time of year. Simultaneously, the weather remains extremely volatile, continuing the anomalies observed last winter. Scientific reports indicate that the turn of 2025 and 2026 has gone down in history with record warmth in December and the lowest precipitation totals in January since the beginning of this century. The current meteorological situation forces emergency services into a state of readiness, especially in the northern regions of the country. The most serious situation is currently in Pomerania, where sudden thaws have led to local flooding. Wody Polskie (Polish Waters) and the fire department are intervening to seal embankments and secure residents' property. Many basements and properties have been flooded, heightening concerns about the return of dangerous hydrological phenomena across the entire country still this calendar year. According to long-term forecasts, March will be marked by weather "variability," combining sunny days with passing rain showers and heavy cloud cover, which is clearly visible in large agglomerations such as Warsaw, Krakow, and Wrocław. Over the last two decades, Poland has seen a systematic shortening of the snow cover duration period, which, combined with sudden temperature rises, results in a concentration of water runoff in a short time. This phenomenon, combined with the progressing 'concretization' of cities, significantly increases the risk of flash floods and thaw-related flooding. The current weather model suggests that after a brief period of calm, an extreme phenomenon could return to Poland, the effects of which will be felt in the economy and agriculture. Although Tuesday appears spring-like in many regions, specialists warn against excessive optimism. Long-term analyses indicate thermal anomalies that could disrupt the natural vegetation cycle and expose crops to later frosts. In Western Europe, including France, the situation is more stable, but the continent is grappling with a general trend of climate warming, translating into increasingly unpredictable weather at the threshold of the calendar spring. „Długoterminowa prognoza to typowa przeplatanka.” (The long-term forecast is typical variability.) — Forecaster (Wprost)
Perspektywy mediów: Liberal media emphasize the link between weather extremes and the global climate crisis and call for systemic changes in water management. News services focus mainly on the current interventions of services, practical information for residents, and hazard warnings.