The beginning of March 2026 brings a distinct warming to Poland and Western Europe, heralding the arrival of meteorological spring. According to forecasts from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW), temperatures in the coming days could rise to as high as 14 degrees Celsius. While the days become sunny, encouraging walks, the nights remain cool with local frosts. The situation is complicated by dense fog and dangerously high water levels in rivers in Lower Silesia.
Spring warming in Poland
Daytime temperatures will rise to 14 degrees Celsius, favoring walks and awakening nature to life, including the first crocuses.
Frost and fog alerts
IMGW warns of dense fog limiting visibility to 200m and nighttime frosts across the country.
Hydrological threat
High river levels in Lower Silesia, particularly near Wrocław, keep emergency services on standby.
The first days of March 2026 bring weather typical of early spring to Poland and neighboring countries. The Institute of Meteorology and Water Management forecasts that in the near future, the maximum temperature in the country will reach from 11 to as high as 14 degrees Celsius, which is the result of an influx of warmer air masses. The strengthening sunshine during the day has already attracted crowds of walkers to Jasne Błonia in Szczecin, and the first crocuses have been noted blooming in Muszyna. Nevertheless, the phenomenon has a dual nature; sunny and pleasant afternoons contrast with frosty nights, during which temperatures in many regions drop below zero. This thermal dichotomy requires particular caution, especially in agriculture and horticulture, where early vegetation could be threatened by sudden nighttime temperature drops. Simultaneously, Polish forecasters have issued alarming warnings about dense fog for the Mazovian, Greater Poland, and Lower Silesian voivodeships. Visibility in these regions may drop below 200 meters, generating a high risk of road collisions. An additional factor destabilizing the situation are hydrological bulletins. Particular concern is raised by the situation near Wrocław, where high river levels persist at warning and alarm stages. Hydrologists indicate that despite the lack of intense precipitation, the runoff of meltwater from higher terrain areas continues to feed riverbeds, requiring constant monitoring of flood embankments. Historically, March in Poland is a month of struggle between two seasons, reflected in the folk saying 'March weather is like a stew pot.' Statistically, it is precisely during this period that the greatest daily temperature amplitudes are recorded, sometimes exceeding 20 degrees Celsius.The weather situation in other parts of Europe shows similar tendencies. In German states such as Hesse, Baden-Württemberg, and North Rhine-Westphalia, forecasters predict the return of sunshine, which favors planning the first sowings of cold-resistant plants. However, an unusual phenomenon was recorded in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, where spectacular ice ridges, resembling towers, formed on the Baltic coast. In Italy, on the other hand, a stable anticyclone dominates, which, while guaranteeing a lack of precipitation, favors the formation of troublesome mists in valleys and lowlands. Poland's 'walrus' (winter swimmers) community is taking advantage of this transitional time, gathering in large numbers at water reservoirs in Piecki or on Pogoria Lake, enjoying the sun despite the still extremely low water temperature. „W nadchodzących dniach temperatura może wynieść do 14 st. C. Gdzie będzie najchłodniej?” (In the coming days, the temperature may reach up to 14 degrees Celsius. Where will it be the coldest?) — IMGW Statement