Breakthrough in Nuclear Negotiations with Iran Amid Growing US Military Pressure

The geopolitical situation surrounding Iran's nuclear program has entered a phase of highest tension, characterized by sudden twists in the diplomatic sphere. The mediator from Oman, playing a key role in contacts between Washington and Tehran, announced an unexpected breakthrough. Despite Oman's mediation efforts, the recent talks in Geneva did not yield a breakthrough, and Iran rejected American demands to halt uranium enrichment and dismantle nuclear infrastructure. This information was intended to be a de-escalation signal, suggesting that the ayatollahs' regime is buckling under the pressure of sanctions and the threat of attack. Experts indicate that the declaration to abandon uranium stockpiling is a "completely new" element in the long-standing dispute, which theoretically could open the way to a lasting agreement. The optimism from Muscat was, however, quickly tempered by the hardline rhetoric from the White House. President Donald Trump publicly criticized the current state of negotiations, stating plainly that he is not satisfied with them. The American leader criticized the course of negotiations so far, assessing that diplomacy conducted since the Islamic Revolution has not brought the expected results. Trump emphasized that he has not yet made a final decision on an attack, but noted that "sometimes force is necessary." Simultaneously, US officials, including Marco Rubio, traveled to Israel, which is interpreted as preparing the ground for potential coordination of military actions. The mood is worsened by additional sanctions and the US's official designation of Iran as a state practicing "unlawful detentions," which constitutes a new category in hostage diplomacy. Since the Islamic Revolution in 1979, relations between Washington and Tehran have remained in a state of permanent crisis, interrupted only by brief periods of thaw, such as during the signing of the JCPOA agreement in 2015.In the face of a real threat of war breaking out, numerous countries, including Poland and China, have issued urgent warnings for their citizens. The Polish Ministry of Foreign Affairs called for the immediate departure from the territories of Iran, Israel, and Lebanon, pointing to the unpredictability of further developments. Chinese diplomacy also advised against any travel to Iran, citing security destabilization. Financial markets reacted to these reports with increased anxiety; analysts from Barclays bank predict that the price of Brent crude oil may soon reach $80 per barrel due to the risk of supply disruptions from the Persian Gulf. Despite Oman's assurances of a breakthrough, the world is now watching a race between fragile diplomacy and the war machine, which appears to be on full alert. „I am not happy with the negotiations. We have been playing with them for 47 years.” — Donald Trump