Civic Coalition Maintains Lead While PiS Surges; Government Delays Tax-Free Savings Accounts

Civic Coalition (KO) maintained its first-place position in a new political opinion poll released on March 13, 2026, while Law and Justice (PiS) showed a significant upward trend. Although KO remains the leader, the results indicate that PiS is now trailing closely behind, narrowing the gap between the two primary political forces. The Confederation party continues to hold a strong position in the survey, whereas Poland 2050 recorded a result described by analysts as weak or compromising. This latest data suggests a tightening race as the political landscape shifts ahead of future electoral contests. The Polish political scene has been defined by the rivalry between the liberal-conservative Civic Coalition and the national-conservative Law and Justice party for over twenty years. Following the 2023 parliamentary elections, a coalition government led by Donald Tusk took power, ending eight years of PiS rule. Since then, polling has frequently shown KO in the lead, though economic issues and legislative delays have impacted support levels for the governing bloc. The 2027 parliamentary elections are expected to be the next major test for these political alignments.

The Ministry of Finance announced a delay in the implementation of the Oszczędnościowe Konta Indywidualne (OKI), a program intended to allow citizens to bypass the capital gains tax. According to the ministry, the launch of these accounts will now take place in 2027 at the earliest, marking a postponement of a key government campaign promise. The OKI initiative was specifically designed to provide relief from the Belka tax, which currently applies to most forms of investment income. This delay means that taxpayers will have to wait at least another year before they can utilize the new tax-free savings mechanism. 2027 (year) — earliest date for OKI program launch

Political speculation has also turned toward the 2027 elections, specifically regarding the potential leadership of the Law and Justice party. Reports have identified Przemysław Czarnek as a possible candidate for the position of Prime Minister. Michał Wawer, a Member of Parliament from the Confederation party, commented on these rumors by suggesting the candidacy might not be a sign of strength. He characterized the potential move as a strategic decision by the PiS leadership to field a candidate who might bear the brunt of a difficult campaign. „Kozioł ofiarny” (Scapegoat) — Michał Wawer via Interia