A deep internal crisis is growing within Law and Justice, caused by the weakening position of Jarosław Kaczyński and factional struggles over succession. The latest polls indicate Mateusz Morawiecki as the favorite to take the helm of the party, while the PiS chairman has already announced the selection of a candidate for prime minister. Simultaneously, sensational reports are emerging about the possible departure of the former head of government from the party in a gesture of protest against the marginalization of his camp.

Morawiecki's Dominance in Polls

Former Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki obtained 29% support in an IBRiS poll, decisively outperforming rivals such as Przemysław Czarnek (11%) and Mariusz Błaszczak (5%).

Threat of Split and Departures

Reports have emerged about the planned exit from PiS of a group of politicians centered around Mateusz Morawiecki within the next few months.

Błaszczak-Dworczyk Conflict

PiS parliamentary club head Mariusz Błaszczak sharply attacked Michał Dworczyk in a closed forum, accusing him of disloyalty and acting against the party's interests.

Inside Law and Justice, unprecedented tension is occurring, which political commentators openly compare to the TV series "Succession". Although Jarosław Kaczyński formally maintains power, experts such as Prof. Antoni Dudek point to the progressive erosion of his authority. The situation is exacerbated by unfavorable polls in which the party receives only 20-23% support, representing a drastic drop compared to the results of the Civic Coalition. In the parliamentary corridors, there is increasingly loud talk about the rivalry between the so-called "scouts" (Morawiecki's circle) and the "butterers", i.e., the faction represented by Przemysław Czarnek and Patryk Jaki. The key flashpoint has become reports about the possible departure from the party by Mateusz Morawiecki. The former prime minister feels systematically marginalized, which is confirmed by the fact that at the end of 2025, he was not included in the party's top leadership. Factions are also clashing on the personnel front – an example is the conflict between Mariusz Błaszczak and Michał Dworczyk, who was excluded from the party convention in Stalowa Wola on charges of "deviating from the party line". Since the establishment of Law and Justice in 2001, Jarosław Kaczyński has remained the undisputed leader of the formation, building it as a monolithic party with strong internal discipline, making the current fractures a historically exceptional phenomenon.Despite internal frictions, the PiS chairman is trying to take the initiative, declaring that the name of the future candidate for prime minister is already known and will be announced in March 2026. Speculations include, among others, Zbigniew Bogucki, although in public opinion polls, it is Mateusz Morawiecki who enjoys the greatest trust as a potential successor, garnering 29% of votes. Simultaneously, Kaczyński categorically rules out a coalition with the Confederation of the Polish Crown led by Grzegorz Braun, calling it a "directly pro-Russian" formation. „I would be very happy if Mariusz Błaszczak were my successor, because I value and like him.” — Jarosław KaczyńskiMateusz Morawiecki: 29, Przemysław Czarnek: 11, Mariusz Błaszczak: 5, Patryk Jaki: 5, Tobiasz Bocheński: 5, No opinion: 2429% — of respondents see Morawiecki in the role of PiS chairman The future of the right will depend on the ability to maintain unity before the elections in 2027. Although most Poles believe a formal split will not occur, the scale of animosity between the Czarnek and Morawiecki groups is the greatest in years. If PiS fails to integrate its wings, it may face the specter of permanently losing its primacy on the Polish right to the strengthening Confederation.

Mentioned People

  • Jarosław Kaczyński — Chairman of PiS, whose leadership is being challenged by internal factions.
  • Mateusz Morawiecki — Former prime minister, leader in polls to succeed Kaczyński, reportedly considering leaving the party.
  • Mariusz Błaszczak — Head of the PiS parliamentary club, indicated by Kaczyński as the preferred successor.