February 2026 brings key changes to the European architecture. After years of negotiations, London, Madrid, and Brussels have finalized a treaty on Gibraltar's status, which will enter the Schengen zone. Simultaneously, Iceland announces accelerated work on a referendum regarding a return to accession negotiations with the European Union. These changes coincide with declarations by Czech Prime Minister Andrej Babiš about limiting the growth rate of defense spending.

Removal of the Gibraltar border

Gibraltar's maritime and airport status will be included in the Schengen zone, meaning the physical fence with Spain will be removed.

Iceland's accession referendum

Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir announced a vote on resuming talks with the EU, motivated by the Arctic situation.

Czechia cuts defense spending

Prime Minister Andrej Babiš announced that Czechia will not aim for the 3.5% of GDP defense target, stopping at around 2%.

Negotiations on Gibraltar, ongoing for nearly a decade since the British Brexit referendum, have reached their conclusion. The main premise of the new treaty is the inclusion of this territory into the Schengen zone, which will allow for the physical removal of the so-called Verja, the fence separating the Rock from the Spanish town of La Línea de la Concepción. Spanish Minister of Foreign Affairs, José Manuel Albares, confirmed that Spanish officers will serve at the Gibraltar port and airport, controlling arrivals from non-Schengen countries. Despite Madrid's enthusiasm, local authorities from the Campo de Gibraltar region express concerns. Controversy arose from the fact that the thousand-page draft treaty was first published in English, which drew criticism from local mayors demanding greater transparency. The dispute over Gibraltar's sovereignty dates back to 1713, when under the Treaty of Utrecht the territory passed under British rule after the Spanish War of Succession. Simultaneously in the north of the continent, Iceland returns to discussions about European Union membership. Icelandic Prime Minister, Kristrún Frostadóttir, announced a referendum in the coming months on resuming accession negotiations. Although Brussels welcomes these signals, Iceland analyzes the benefits of membership primarily through the lens of Arctic security. The new geopolitical situation, including Russian expansionism, has forced Icelanders to reanalyze the benefits of accession. Recent polls suggest growing support for integration, although traditional fishing issues remain a sticking point. Meanwhile in Central Europe, Czech Prime Minister Andrej Babiš declared that his country will not aim for defense spending above 2.1% of GDP, marking a clear departure from earlier ambitions and regional arms trends. „España no renuncia a la soberanía, pero este acuerdo permite que desaparezca el último muro de la Europa continental” (Spain does not renounce sovereignty, but this agreement allows the last wall on the European continent to disappear) — José Manuel Albares The treaty's entry into force is planned for April 10, 2026. Although the British government emphasizes that Gibraltar's sovereignty remains unchanged, the Spanish opposition from the People's Party accuses Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's government of "claudicación", meaning concessions that could weaken Madrid's position in future territorial disputes. In the Campo de Gibraltar region, uncertainty prevails regarding the status of thousands of cross-border workers, for whom the fence removal is an opportunity, but the new legal framework raises concerns about employment stability and customs controls.

Mentioned People

  • José Manuel Albares — Spanish Minister of Foreign Affairs, the face of Gibraltar negotiations.
  • Kristrún Frostadóttir — Prime Minister of Iceland, announced the EU referendum.
  • Andrej Babiš — Serving Prime Minister of Czechia, announcing reduction of arms ambitions.