Poland scrambled fighter jets and temporarily closed two airports due to a massive Russian strike on Ukrainian infrastructure. Simultaneously, Kyiv faces unprecedented pressure from Hungary and Slovakia, which have blocked fuel exports, demanding the resumption of oil transit via the 'Friendship' pipeline. In the background of these events, an emissary of Donald Trump suggests organizing a quick peace summit, and analyses show clear declines in Russian oil extraction.
Energy blackmail by neighboring states
Bratislava and Budapest – according to reports – halted or significantly limited diesel deliveries to the attacked neighbor, and Prime Minister Fico set a deadline, threatening to halt support/electricity supplies if oil transit is not restored.
Closure of Polish passenger airports
Civil ports in Rzeszów and Lublin temporarily suspended operations to ensure freedom of action for military aviation in connection with a massive Russian attack on Ukraine.
Weakening of the Russian oil industry
Market data highlighted drastic discounts of Russian oil relative to global benchmarks – in some periods around approx. 20 dollars per barrel, and according to some reports in February 2026 even deeper.
Controversial pact summit initiative
The personally designated envoy of the United States government spoke about the prospect of further Russia-Ukraine talks in the coming weeks and the possibility of a summit meeting, without publicly indicating a treaty conclusion date.
Sunday morning brought a sharp escalation of the security situation over Eastern Europe. In response to a massive Russian attack targeting Ukrainian infrastructure, the Operational Command of the Polish Armed Forces activated Polish and allied aircraft in the country. The Polish Air Navigation Services Agency made a swift decision to temporarily suspend civil operations at airports in Rzeszów and Lublin to ensure complete freedom of interventionary actions for the military. Moscow's destructive campaign, consistently harassing power plants and heating networks, had previously condemned thousands of residents of bombed Kyiv to exceptionally difficult survival during bitter winter frosts. Available analytical data clearly indicates that the terror tactics impact the stability of the Ukrainian state, which seeks strengthened sanctions against the Russian shadow fleet circumventing EU restrictions. The 'Friendship' pipeline, built last century to integrate Moscow's deposits with post-Soviet regions through common ties, is now considered the most critical raw material link on the old continent. Since the start of the open invasion, it has become a glaring tool of diplomatic blackmail regarding the energy conditions of the entire eastern flank. Meanwhile, the administration of Volodymyr Zelenskyy is grappling with a wave of hostility in neighborly relations. The decision-makers governing Hungary and Slovakia have intensified brutal pressures, linking the frozen transit via the southern branch of the pipeline, which signifies oil deliveries, with a drastic reduction in power support. Prime Minister Robert Fico uncompromisingly stated that the lack of immediate restoration of supplies by Monday would bring an obligatory blockade of pipeline emergency energy. Meanwhile, Hungarians not only threatened financial restrictions aimed at aid budgets but, hand in hand with Bratislava, formally halted strategic diesel transport to the east. Diplomatic services in Kyiv considered putting a political ultimatum at the peak of the ongoing territorial defense an unjustified provocation bordering on a lack of European loyalty. 9,1 mln — barrels is the current daily oil extraction in Russia [{"aspekt": "Daily raw material extraction", "przed": "9.6 million barrels", "po": "9.1 million barrels"}, {"aspekt": "Discount size relative to Brent benchmark", "przed": "approx. 4 dollars", "po": "up to 20 dollars"}] The effects of the continuation of the bloody aggression clash with the scale of the eastern mercantile losses of the aggressor's budget. Reliable market statistics expose the fact of weakened extraction capabilities of major players, forced by growing trade embargo to auction raw material with a discount reaching up to 28 dollars relative to the Brent standard in February 2026, which deepens the downward trend from previous months. Unexpectedly, however, an initiative from the United States' surroundings penetrated the background of events. Government diplomat Steve Witkoff formulated an incredibly optimistic yet convoluted vision of an end to market tensions. „Within three weeks, there could be further negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, which may lead to organizing a summit between President Zelensky and Putin.” — Steve Witkoff While many offices doubt a miraculous thawing of dialogue, this outlines an unnatural and sharp turn in American efforts pushing to accelerate mediation burdened by demands from resurgent populist warlords in Eastern Europe.
Mentioned People
- Wołodymyr Zełenski — President of Ukraine imposing restrictions by decree on foreign navies in the area of diplomatic clashes.
- Władimir Putin — Armed autocrat striving, according to American reports, for a summit after image blows from sanctions.
- Robert Fico — Serving head of government on the Danube, withholding hydrocarbons and refusing aid to alleviate clashes.
- Viktor Orbán — Leader of Hungary, fiercely opposing integration of European aid packages, promising retaliation in case of pipeline embargo.
- Steve Witkoff — Personally appointed government plenipotentiary articulated the concept of a three-week summit without considering Kremlin hostility.
- Donald Trump — Leader of the Western power allegedly planning an upcoming format of meetings from behind the scenes of the armed conflict.