The beginning of March 2026 brings a dramatic weather shift to Poland. An influx of tropical air masses will push temperatures up to 16 degrees Celsius, and even up to 21 degrees in Western Europe. The situation is complicated by the phenomenon of 'blood rain' caused by dust from the Sahara and numerous hydrological alerts resulting from rapid snowmelt, threatening river overflows in several regions of the country.

Historic Warming in Europe

Temperatures exceeding 16-20 degrees Celsius in March herald an exceptionally warm start to spring.

Flood Threat and Snowmelt

IMGW maintains a high level of warnings for rivers in several regions due to rapid snowmelt.

Saharan Dust Over Poland

The influx of dust from Africa will cause the phenomenon of blood rain and a temporary deterioration in air quality.

Poland is under the influence of a rare pressure system that is bringing exceptionally warm, tropical air masses to Central Europe. Forecasters predict that on Tuesday, March 3rd, thermometers in many parts of the country, including Łódź and the west, will show up to 16 degrees Celsius. This is an unusual value for this time of year, causing anomalies in the natural world, including the premature awakening of forest fauna. At the same time, frosts are still forecast at night, leading to enormous daily temperature swings of up to a dozen degrees or more. In the upper layers of the atmosphere, a powerful cloud of Saharan dust is moving over Europe. This phenomenon, combined with local precipitation, will result in so-called blood rain, which may be particularly troublesome for drivers and negatively affect air quality. The last time such a strong impact of Saharan dust was recorded in March was in 2022, when the sky over a large part of Europe took on an unnatural orange hue, and snow in the Alps was covered with a layer of sand.However, the joy of the spring-like weather is marred by a critical hydrological situation. The sudden temperature rise has caused massive snowmelt, which, combined with earlier precipitation, has filled riverbeds to warning and alarm levels. IMGW has issued Level I and II alerts for several voivodeships, including Masovia and northeastern Poland. Experts are anxiously monitoring five key rivers where water levels have exceeded alarm thresholds, which, with further warming, could threaten local flooding. „Kleszcze już się przebudziły i są głodne. Podczas spacerów w lesie należy zachować szczególną ostrożność.” (Ticks have already woken up and are hungry. Special caution is advised during walks in the forest.) — Foresters of the State Forests While Europe grapples with a heatwave, drastically different conditions prevail in the east. In the Asian part of Russia, an extreme winter onslaught has been recorded with frosts reaching minus 40 degrees Celsius. This contrasting situation results from a strong high-pressure block that has split the air circulation over the continent. Long-term forecasts for Poland do not rule out that after the March warming, winter accents, including snowfall, may still return, which is typical of the Polish proverb 'March weather is like a stewpot'.

Perspektywy mediów: Liberal media emphasize the impact of climate change on temperature anomalies and record warmth in March. Conservative media focus on practical advice from foresters and current protection against the effects of river flooding.